South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/25

The SEC Tournament will commence on Wednesday afternoon with the 16 vs 9 matchup between South Carolina and Arkansas. The last time these teams met, the Gamecocks (12-19) absolutely embarrassed the Razorbacks (19-12) in Columbia. South Carolina led by as many as 35 points late in the 2nd half, holding Arkansas – which was without Boogie Fland and Adou Thiero –  to just 0.77 points per possession and 3/22 from 3-point range. The Razorbacks rebounded from the loss with back-to-back wins in which they scored at least 90 points, while the Gamecocks lost their final 2 games of the regular season and failed to surpass 65 points in either.

South Carolina was unreliable and inefficient away from home this season, winning just 2 games outside of the friendly confines of Colonial Life Arena. For what it’s worth, those 2 wins were against 2 of the worst teams in the ACC in Boston College and Virginia Tech, and they were way back in late November and early December. The Gamecocks have not won a single game away from home since then, and I have a hard time finding a reason to believe that will change on Wednesday. They average fewer than 65 points per game away from home and carry a 46.1% effective field goal percentage in those games, which is outside the top 300 nationally. Moreover, Arkansas will likely have motivation to show up for this game after its embarrassing effort at South Carolina on March 1st. The Razorbacks have the better back court in this matchup with Johnell Davis and DJ Wagner despite that loss just a couple weeks ago, which is enough for me to lean to the ‘Hogs in the SEC’s opening tournament game in Nashville.

South Carolina vs Arkansas prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks -2.5 (-118) at the time of publishing. Playable to -3.

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