Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/23/25

One of the most intriguing games on the Sunday college basketball slate comes in Bloomington, Indiana where the Hoosiers will host the Purdue Boilermakers in a key Big Ten clash. Having dropped 6 of their last 7 games, the Hoosiers are certainly on the outside of the bubble looking in. Their tournament hopes are not totally dead yet, but it’s going to require a massive run to get them on the right side of the bubble – starting on Sunday when they host their arch-rivals at home. The first game in this great rivalry came down to the wire, but Purdue was ultimately able to secure a win at Mackey Arena. Now, with the Boilermakers heading into this game on a bit of a cold streak, I suspect that most will be looking to back Indiana in a must-win game at home. However, I’m more inclined to back the visitors in this contest. 

Fresh off a pair of demoralizing losses to Wisconsin and Michigan State, this Purdue team appears to be pretty vulnerable at the moment. However, Matt Painter’s side does have some clear advantages in this matchup, most notably on offense. Indiana’s defense is outside the top 75 in adjusted efficiency since the start of the calendar year, and Purdue forward Trey Kaufman-Renn should have a big day on Sunday. Kaufman-Renn’s ability to stretch the floor should draw the likes of Oumar Ballo and Malik Reneau out of the paint, which should set up easy looks for Braden Smith, Fletcher Loyer and the rest of the Boilermakers offense. On the other side, Indiana’s offense has a major turnover problem and the Hoosiers are also outside the top 250 in 3-point percentage since the start of conference play. I don’t foresee Indiana having the same level of success as Wisconsin and Michigan State, and the step-down in competition should also do wonders for this Purdue team. Even in a heated rivalry matchup, I’ll lay the points with the road team.

Purdue vs Indiana prediction: Purdue -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.

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