Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/22/25

We have a fascinating Big 12 matchup on our hands on Saturday when the Kansas Jayhawks host the sneaky hot Oklahoma State Cowboys. What a difference a month makes for this Kansas program. After suffering a catastrophic loss at home to Houston on January 25 — a game in which Kansas led by 6 and was at the free throw line with less than 20 seconds remaining in overtime — the Jayhawks have looked like a broken team. After all, Bill Self’s squad hardly ever loses multiple games at Allen Fieldhouse in the same season, and certainly not in the fashion that these losses occurred. The Jayhawks road woes came to light in the games to follow, as Kansas blew a 21-point halftime lead to Baylor and followed that up with a loss at Kansas State, plus a pair of embarrassing defeats to Utah and BYU in the last week. Surrendering 91 points in a 34-point loss to BYU on the road is certainly a new low for Kansas this season, but even with these recent disastrous performances in mind, the underlying metrics would tell you that Kansas is still a top 20-caliber team. While that doesn’t appear to be the case at the moment, the Jayhawks have certainly looked like it on multiple occasions this season, most recently in a dominant victory over Iowa State on February 3 at Allen Fieldhouse. Therefore, while it’s not my favorite play on the board by any means, Saturday’s game against Oklahoma State should provide a chance for Kansas to put that awful road trip to rest and cover this number at home.

The Cowboys have been a pretty middling team all season long, and even though they’ve been playing well over the last 6 games, the metrics still reflect that. Oklahoma State is 132nd in adjusted offensive efficiency and 82nd in adjusted defensive efficiency (Barttorvik), and those marks are hardly much better since Big 12 play started. The results have also not been pretty each time they have stepped up in class on the road this season. Most recently, Oklahoma State lost to TCU and got routed by Kansas to the tune of a 28-point defeat. With those struggles in mind, don’t expect the Cowboys to score much against Kansas’ strong defense (5th in adjusted defensive efficiency). On the other side of the ball, Kansas certainly has the ability to create matchup issues with Flory Bidunga and Hunter Dickinson playing at the same time, which has been a successful pairing when Self has gone to it in recent weeks. Yes, Kansas has struggled away from Allen Fieldhouse, but this is a home game following a couple of atrocious efforts. Let’s lay the points with Kansas on Saturday.

Oklahoma State vs Kansas prediction: Kansas -14.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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