Navy Midshipmen vs American Eagles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/25

A berth in the NCAA Tournament will be at stake when the Navy Midshipmen and American Eagles collide in the Patriot League Tournament final on Wednesday night. American has home-court advantage as the #1 seed in the conference, but that did not make any difference in this particular matchup during the regular season. Navy won both of the games, prevailing 81-58 at home on January 2 and 68-60 on the road on February 26. What’s especially concerning for the Eagles is that the Midshipmen got the job done in a way that is repeatable. Navy won the rebounding battle by 10 in the first meeting and by 12 in the rematch. It blocked a total of 8 shots in those 2 contests; American had zero blocks. The Eagles were simply dominated in the paint.

As such, 2.5 points are too many to give and my Navy vs American pick is on the underdogs to cover the spread. In addition to their head-to-head success, the Midshipmen are in outstanding form at the moment. They have won 5 games in a row and 7 of their last 8 overall. All 5 of their victories during the current surge have come by at least 6 points. Austin Benigni (18.8 ppg) has scored at least 24 points in 3 consecutive contests, including a 30-point performance in the conference quarterfinals against Boston University. I’m backing Benigni and the Midshipmen.

Navy vs American prediction: Navy +2.5 (-102) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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