LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/25

Mississippi State fell out of the Top 25 following a heartbreaking loss against Arkansas this Saturday. On Wednesday the Bulldogs will be looking to rebound against LSU, which finished 15th in the SEC this season. LSU endured a tough end to the regular season, facing 5 ranked opponents and losing every one of those games — and some were not even close. Mississippi State, on the other hand, was ninth in the SEC —  losing 4 of its last 5, with the only win coming against LSU back on March 1. LSU is going to need to make a deep run in this SEC Tournament to even be considered for the Big Dance, but I have some bad news for Tiger fans: I think the Bulldogs will win and cover the spread.

Despite losing 4 of its last 5, Mississippi State has to have some confidence heading into this matchup. It has won their last 2 tournament-opening games under head coach Chris Jans. Moreover, this LSU offense is almost non-existent as of late; it is averaging only 61.8 ppg in the last 5 games of the season while giving up 77.2 ppg. Mississippi State is scoring 83 ppg in its last 5 games. This is a decent spread for the Bulldogs to cover, but I don’t think they will have any issues in doing so. The Bulldogs will probably dominate in the paint and the Tigers may have a tough time containing KeShawm Murphy — plus they also have to deal with Josh Hubbard, who is averaging 18.3 ppg. Mizzou couldn’t stop him in the last matchup, as he scored 30 points. At the end of the day, the Bulldogs will likely be too much for the Tigers to handle.

LSU vs Mississippi State prediction: Mississippi State -8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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