Kentucky Wildcats vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 02/04/25

The Kentucky Wildcats continue to be an offensive powerhouse, but their defensive struggles remain a glaring issue. Coming off a disappointing loss to Arkansas, Kentucky’s defensive woes were further exposed, allowing the Razorbacks to score at an impressive 1.22 points per possession. The absence of Lamont Butler has only amplified these problems, as his elite on-ball defense is sorely missed. Under Mark Pope, Kentucky has fully embraced a modern offensive approach, ranking third nationally in offensive efficiency per KenPom. The Wildcats thrive on perimeter shooting (37% from three) and ball security (14% turnover rate), making them one of the most dynamic scoring teams in the nation. However, they need consistent production from key players like Koby Brea and Ansley Almonor, especially with Andrew Carr coming off the bench.

On the other side, Ole Miss has hit a rough patch, losing three of its last four. However, two of those defeats were one-possession games, and the Rebels remain a formidable defensive squad, ranking 13th in efficiency. Their ability to force turnovers (22% rate) and limit three-point shooting (30%) aligns with Chris Beard’s signature defense. The key to this game will be Ole Miss’ offensive execution. The last 5 teams that Ole Miss has played the opponent’s defense ranked 100th or better. Kentucky’s defense ranks closer to 200th, presenting an opportunity for Sean Pedulla and Jaylen Murray to exploit. If the Rebels can keep up offensively, this game has serious shootout potential.

Kentucky vs Ole Miss Prediction: Over 157 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 159.5

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