Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/22/25

The nightcap in the Big 12 takes us to Waco, TX where the Kansas State Wildcats take on the Baylor Bears. Here we have two teams riding losing streaks. The Bears have lost 2 in a row after blowing a game at home Sunday to TCU. The Bears essentially played a 6-man rotation, and they were simply bullied and out-physicaled in their own gym. Kansas State, on the other hand, has dropped 8 of their last 9, including 5 straight conference games. Both teams should be playing with some desperation, but I don’t think that leads to a lot of points. With a spread number sitting near a dozen, it is hard to feel good about either side there. Instead, I think the best play in this game is the game total under. My Kansas State vs Baylor prediction is under 142.

Both teams play at a slow and deliberate pace, both ranking outside the top 200 in pace of play. When these teams aren’t in transition, they are often standing at the head of the key with the ball on their hip, waiting on a screen and roll to develop. There will be a lot of shots forced up late in the shot clock, often from isolation plays. Kansas State, in fact, has only eclipsed the 70-point mark one time in their 5-game losing skid, and while Baylor has a much more efficient offense, 72 has been their highwater mark over the past 5 games themselves. I suppose it is possible that either team could catch fire, but that has not been their pattern thus far. I do not see a lot of reason to expect points here, so I am taking the under.

Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction: Under 142 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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