Florida Atlantic Owls vs UAB Blazers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/06/25

The UAB Blazers will host the Florida Atlantic Owls in a matchup between 2 of the top-5 teams in the American Conference standings. These teams met early in league play and it was UAB that came away victorious in an 81-76 road win. We may be able to expect more of the same in the rematch in Birmingham. FAU’s inability to compete with the quality opponents in the American has been a theme this season. Against the top 4 rated teams per BartTorvik’s efficiency ratings, the Owls have a record of 0-6 and have also failed to cover the spread in any of those games. The Owls’ defense has let them down the most this season, and while this unit has improved throughout the year, their numbers have seen a decline against the league’s best competition.

In this particular matchup, UAB should have an advantage on the glass. The Blazers rank 5th in the entire country in offensive rebound rate, while the Owls have struggled to keep opponents off the boards, ranking just 274th nationally in defensive rebound rate. The Owls also had a difficult time slowing down potential AAC player of the year Yaxel Lendeborg in the first matchup. UAB’s big man went for 22 points and 10 rebounds in FAU’s building, so we could expect the Owls to pay more attention to him in the rematch, leading to more opportunities for perimeter options like Alejandro Vazquez and Efrem Johnson. The revenge angle may be on the side of FAU, but it’s the Blazers who are motivated after their recent home loss to Memphis. Expect UAB to assert its dominance on the interior and cover the 2-possession spread.

FAU vs UAB prediction: UAB -5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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