Connecticut Huskies vs Creighton Bluejays Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/14/25

The Big East tournament semifinals will take place on Friday, and the nightcap at Madison Square Garden features a pair of familiar foes in the UConn Huskies and Creighton Bluejays. It’s no secret that UConn has gone through a tumultuous regular season, thanks in large part to injuries, inconsistent play and a whole lot of outside noise. And while that noise around the program might not quiet down anytime soon, the Huskies are pretty clearly playing their best basketball of the season in recent weeks, and it all started with a win over Creighton back on February 11 in Omaha.

On the other side, the Bluejays had a very strong first half of conference play, but they haven’t exactly played anywhere near their best basketball of late. Creighton is extremely fortunate to even be in this game after it fell behind by 17 points in the second half to lowly DePaul on Friday, The Bluejays were even down by 11 with just over 90 seconds remaining, before Gregg McDermott’s team pulled off a furious comeback to force overtime. From there, Creighton would need to play another 10 minutes before the Bluejays eventually secured a 4-point victory in double overtime. UConn didn’t exactly have the same level of stress in its win over Villanova, in which the Huskies used a dominant second half effort to dispatch the upstart Wildcats. There is a clear discrepancy in effort expended between these teams on Thursday, and I do think that will bleed into Friday’s contest a bit.

UConn has struggled with Creighton in the past, and that’s mainly due to how the Bluejays defend the basket with Ryan Kalkbrenner patrolling the paint. However, the Creighton big man just played a whopping 49 minutes on Friday, so he’ll undoubtedly need a bit more rest than usual given that this game is on such short rest. That’s a clear advantage for a Huskies team that is already so effective and moving and cutting without the basketball, as we saw multiple guards, forwards and even centers move without the ball and get a layup as a result against Villanova. UConn’s also been shooting it a bit better from beyond the arc of late, thanks to the emerge of Solo Ball and the reinvigoration of Alex Karaban in his final season. Creighton is not a team that excels at defending the arc (114th in 3-point percentage allowed since January 1), and the Bluejays are more than happy to play drop coverage and give their opponents open midrange jumpers as well. As long as the Huskies can play the game at their pace and make the open looks that Creighton will give them, they should win and cover the short number in this game.

UConn vs Creighton prediction: UConn -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

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