Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 02/05/25

The late-night slate takes us to the Mountain West where we have a Colorado State vs New Mexico prediction for you. The Lobos sit atop the Mountain West standings with only one loss, but Colorado State sits just one game back in the loss column. These teams met in December, a game New Mexico won 76-68, a result that largely gives us the -8.5 spread today. Both teams are playing well, with New Mexico winning 4 in a row and being an absolute steamroller at home. Colorado State, though, has won 7 of 8 since the loss to the Lobos, and their only loss came on the road at San Diego State. The Pit is one of the best environments in college basketball, but I suspect this line is a trap, and I think we end up with a close game here. My Colorado State vs New Mexico pick is Colorado +8.5.

The biggest difference between these teams is their pace of play. The Rams are a more deliberate team, while the Lobos are among the fastest teams in the country. In the first matchup, the Rams were able to keep the pace more to their liking, and they did so by controlling the glass and blocking shots. Otherwise, these teams played very close to even. If the Rams can slow the pace somewhat, and if they can limit the second-chance points for the Lobos, I think it is likely they can keep this game close despite the difficult road venue. I love this Lobos team, and I think they win this game, but I suspect it may only be by a couple of possessions.

Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: Colorado State +8.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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