Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/08/25

We’ve got a Big 12 clash on our hands at Phog Allen Fieldhouse with the Kansas Jayhawks set to host the Arizona Wildcats on Saturday. At this point, the turning point of this season for Kansas is well-known; a catastrophic loss at home to Houston on January 25 — a game in which Kansas led by 6 and was at the free throw line with less than 20 seconds remaining in overtime. Bill Self’s squad hardly ever loses multiple games at Allen Fieldhouse in the same season, but he was handed a third home loss last weekend when Texas Tech shot the lights out from beyond the arc en route to a victory as road underdogs. Kansas hasn’t always responded well to adversity, but the Jayhawks acquitted themselves well against Houston on the road earlier this week, covering the number and fighting a gritty and tough Cougars team tooth-and-nail for 40 minutes. That type of effort bodes well heading into Saturday’s contest.

While Kansas doesn’t appear to be a top-20 caliber team at the moment (34th on Barttorvik in February), the Jayhawks have certainly looked the part on multiple occasions at the Phog this season, most recently in a dominant victory over Iowa State on February 3. This spot for Kansas profiles pretty similarly to what we got in that game, especially since Arizona is trending in the wrong direction over the past couple of weeks (4-4 over its last 8 games). The Wildcats are coming off a very troubling performance against their in-state rivals, allowing 100+ points to Arizona State at home earlier this week. Arizona is 76th defensively on the road this season, so I’d expect that Kansas will be able to create matchup issues by using Hunter Dickinson in the two-man game against the Wildcats’ drop coverage defense. On offense, Arizona has struggled mightily with its shooting beyond the arc, registering a mark of 28% from deep over the past month. The Wildcats generate points at the rim, but they might not see much success here against a Kansas team that is tops in the conference in 2-point defense. At the end of the day, Self is a whopping 31-5 straight up over the last 4 years at Allen Fieldhouse, with 3 of those losses coming this year, all of which were very close games where Kansas experienced poor shooting luck. I’m expecting a full engaged effort from the Jayhawks, so I’ll lay the points in this regular season finale.

Arizona vs Kansas prediction: Kansas -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 3.

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