Troy Trojans vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/21/25

The Wildcats enter this tournament as a #3 seed in the Midwest and they’re getting ready to take on #14 Troy on Friday night. The Wildcats enter this game as double-digit favorites — and rightfully so, as they had the fourth-best scoring offense in the NCAA this season at 85.3 ppg. Troy made the field of 68 by winning the Sun Belt Tournament, and it’s not the offense that has been helping them win games this season — it has been the defense. As we get ready for tipoff, I’m leaning toward the Wildcats for my Troy vs Kentucky prediction.

If I were the Trojans, I would not want to face this Wildcats team in the first round. Kentucky is loaded with talent; it has 6 players averaging double-digits, but unfortunately will be without second-leading scorer Jaxson Robinson, who was averaging 13 ppg this season. Despite boasting a juggernaut of an offense, the Wildcats struggled tremendously on defense, allowing 77.9 ppg this season. If Troy wants to keep this game close, it will need to attack this Wildcats defense — and Tayton Conerway is the person to do it. Conerway is averaging 14.3 ppg this season, leading this Trojans team on offense and during the Sun Belt Tournament scoring 20.3 ppg. Troy won’t go down without a fight in this matchup, and despite Kentucky struggling on defense this season, I think it has too much fire power for the Trojans to handle — making the Wildcats my best bet of the day. 

Troy vs Kentucky Prediction: Kentucky -11.5  (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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