Michigan Wolverines vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/22/25

The first round of the NCAA Tournament has come and gone, and the opening round was defined by a lot of the favorites getting past their opponents, which is exactly what we got in the South Region, as both Texas A&M and Michigan got past their first tests to advance to the weekend session. In the case of Michigan, it was another instance of the Wolverines getting past an opponent that had an outlier shooting performance from beyond the arc (UC San Diego shot well below its season average), and there were certainly a few calls near the end of the game that benefited the Wolverines. However, Michigan did what it needed to do to survive and advance, and that’s all that matters come tournament time. With that said, this is not an ideal matchup for the Wolverines and Michigan’s memorable run over the last 10 days could come to an end on Saturday.

Texas A&M has been a frustrating team to handicap over the last month because the Aggies clearly have the talent and coaching to push themselves over the top, but continued to struggle with poor shooting and inconsistent play from senior point guard Wade Taylor down the stretch in SEC play. However, this is a team that has repeatedly showed up in big games under head coach Buzz Williams, and that’s exactly what we saw in March a season ago when the Aggies took top-seeded Houston to overtime in the Round of 32. This is a much better matchup this time around, as Texas A&M is playing a team that is should be able to turn over, with Michigan’s offense ranked 330th in turnover percentage. The Aggies also live on the glass as the nation’s top offensive rebounding team, something that they can use to their advantage against a Michigan front line that is a below average defensive rebounding unit, despite its size. Points in the paint will be hard to come by as well for a Wolverines team that struggles to score from the outside and needs those touches for Vladislav Goldin and Danny Wolf in the paint. Finally, the close game regression might not ever come for Michigan at this point, but it is worth mentioning that the Wolverines continue to win one possession games where almost everything goes right for them in the final minutes. I’ll put that to the test by backing Texas A&M to win and cover on Saturday.

Michigan vs Texas A&M prediction: Texas A&M -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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