Maryland Terrapins vs Florida Gators Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 03/27/25

The Terrapins have had their fair share of tough beats this season, and what seemed like another heartbreaking defeat turned into a thrilling win when freshman Derik Queen took the ball with just 3.7 seconds left and scored the game-winning layup to defeat Colorado State. The Terrapins aren’t the only ones who were lucky to be moving on, as the Gators had a tough time against the Huskies in the second round, winning by just 2 points despite shooting 46% from the field. Can we say both teams are lucky to have made it to the Sweet 16? Absolutely. However, it shouldn’t be considered a fluke that they’ve made it this far based on their performances all season long.  

According to KenPom, the Gators are ranked 2nd in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Maryland sits at 22nd. On the defensive end, KenPom has Maryland ranked 6th in defense where the Gators are close behind at 11th. The Terrapins likely would have earned a higher seed in this tournament if it weren’t for their buzzer-beater losses to Michigan State and Michigan, as well as a heartbreaking three-pointer by OSU with just a few seconds left. This Maryland team is loaded with talent, with all 5 of their starters averaging double digits this season.

The same can be said about Florida, with 4 of their starters averaging double digits, but I think the big difference here is each team’s ability to shoot the ball from beyond the arc. Florida loves to shoot the three-ball, hitting 35.6% of their shots from deep and holding their opponents to just 29.3%. As for Maryland, they don’t shoot it as much as Florida, but they’re shooting 37.5% from deep while holding their opponents to just 30.2%. I think this game is going to be a close one, but I believe the Gators have the advantage in rebounding the ball along with their ability to shoot the ball from deep. Give me the Gators to cover and march on to the Elite 8.

Maryland vs Florida prediction: Florida -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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