Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/23/25

It wasn’t the prettiest of wins for Baylor in round 1 against Mississippi State, but it got the job done and now must prepare to face #1 seed Duke. Baylor shot 43.5% from the field, but what’s concerning to me is that it let the Bulldogs shoot 50% from the field. In the first round, Duke had no issues taking care of business against Mount St. Mary’s — and the good news is that Cooper Flagg looked great out on the court, with his ankle not appearing to be much of an issue. As Baylor and Duke square off on Sunday, I think Duke will have no issues taking care of business.

Baylor has a talented roster, but it has struggled all year to consistently put things together. VJ Edgecome is projected to be a top pick in the upcoming NBA draft, averaging 15 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. The Bears also have Norchard Omier, who leads this offense with 15.6 ppg and 10.7 rpg. As for the Devils, they have plenty of weapons of their own with Flagg, who averages 18.7 ppg, and Kon Knueppel (14.1 ppg) — but the biggest difference in this matchup is defense. According to KenPom, Duke is ranked fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency; Baylor sits 57th. Duke boasts one of the best defenses in all of college basketball, allowing their opponents to shoot just 38.4% from the field this season. At the end of the day, this Duke team is too talented and will likely be too much for the Bears to handle, making the Blue Devils my best bet of the day.  

Baylor vs Duke prediction: Duke -12 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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