Alabama State Hornets vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 03/20/25

March Madness always delivers unforgettable moments, and Alabama State just provided one for the ages. The Hornets secured their spot in the Round of 64 with a miraculous last-second win over St. Francis in the First Four. Down for nearly the entire game, Alabama State pulled off a full-court heave in the final seconds, setting up a buzzer-beating layup to punch their ticket. It was a total team effort — Amarr Knox led the way with 16 points, while TJ Madlock (11/7/2) and CJ Hines (10 points) provided key contributions.

However, their reward is an absolute gauntlet. No. 1 seed Auburn enters the tournament as the No. 4 team in the country and will be hungry to prove themselves. Bruce Pearl’s squad has plenty to play for after a disappointing 2024 tournament run and a brutal SEC Tournament loss. The Tigers will look to make a statement and remind everyone why they were dominant all season. As for the betting angle, I’m leaning Under 150. The public is heavy on the over (65%), but sharp money is backing the under. Alabama State struggled offensively against St. Francis, and Auburn’s defense should smother them. Alabama State was also the top team towards the under in the SWAC (12-4). Expect a blowout, with the Under cashing.

Alabama State vs Auburn prediction: Under 150 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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