NBA Picks

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Point Spread PickBest Bet

SAC Kings -7.0(-110)

Reasoning

After losing by 40 points to the Celtics on MLK Day, the Warriors now have the tough task of making amends against one of the hottest teams in the league. Stephen Curry and his team cannot catch a break right now, the injury bug has hit them hard and for Wednesday’s game they’ll continue to be without Brandin Podziemski, Kyle Anderson, Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga. This line-up managed just 85 points against the Celtics, in order to stay competitive against the Kings that number will need to go up by a lot. Golden State managed just 99 in the first meeting of the season, losing by 30 points in one of the first games for Doug Christie as Kings head coach.

Sacramento cannot be stopped right now, they’ve lost just once in their last 10 games. Their latest win was an easy one over Washington 123-100 also on MLK Day. The list of teams they’ve beaten during this stretch is quite impressive, the most notable teams are Memphis, Boston and Houston. Fox, Sabonis and DeRozan are the only trio in the league averaging 20+ points each, without a single player on the injury report the Kings will also be able to rely on their depth to win this game. They’re currently on a streak of 6 home wins in a row, while also covering the spread in 6 of 8 overall.

Unless Curry goes nuclear here, I cannot see a scenario in which Golden State hangs on. It’ll be a high scoring game, so if you are uncomfortable trusting the Kings to win by at least 8 points, I would also recommend taking the over. I have faith in this red-hot Sacramento team.

Warriors vs Kings Predictions: Kings -7 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick

Over 217.0(-110)

Reasoning

Boston just crushed Golden State by 40 points, they are now in LA to face the Clippers and the oddsmakers have them favored by 9.5 points here. At first glance it sounds a bit too much, considering the defending champs are just 5-4 SU over their last 9 games overall. During this stretch they rank just 14th in offensive rating which is fairly mediocre for a team that spent most of the first two months in the top 3 both on offense and defense. Perhaps the win at Golden State helps turn things around, but winning at LA hasn’t been an easy task for a while now. Boston is only 3-9 SU in their last 12 visits, they’ve covered only twice in 7 meetings overall.

The Clippers opened as 5.5-point underdogs here, but now the spread is up to 9.5 points after the news of Kawhi Leonard being out. Norman Powell and James Harden are also questionable, if they cannot go here then it’s a wrap for the home team. We’ve seen some good things from the Clippers over their last 5 games, but they just lost to Chicago at home 112-99. Ivica Zubac missed that game, his absence was felt on both ends as the Bulls won the rebounding battle 54-40, while also grabbing 17 offensive rebounds. Whether or not Big Zu suits up here remains to be seen.

Without knowing the full extent of the injuries to Powell, Harden and Zubac, it’s really hard to make a judgement on this game. So let’s go with the point total. The over has cashed in 10 of 15 meetings, while the last 10 have seen an average of 225.1 points per game. The first meeting of the season saw 222 points at TD Garden, even with LA scoring just 94. The Celtics will score enough here to carry us over the total.

Celtics vs Clippers Predictions: Over 216.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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How Do You Pick Against the Spread In The NBA?

Betting against the spread means to bet on the favourite to win by a certain amount of points or the underdog to win or lose by fewer than a certain amount.

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