Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Game 2 Picks for Wednesday, 05/07/25

Michael Porter Jr. over 9.5 points (-115)

Nuggets forward Michael Porter Jr. really struggled to get going in Game 1, knocking down just 1 of his 8 field-goal attempts. However, with Nikola Jokic dominating like he did, likely commanding even more attention in Game 2, the opportunities should be there for MPJ to bounce back, especially if Jokic creates open looks for him. With the Nuggets having issues with depth and not using more than 8 players in a game, playing time should not be a major concern.

The forward has had success against the Thunder in the regular season, averaging 20 points per game against them in 4 outings. He hit double-digit points in each of those matchups. He is also a 39.5% shooter from beyond the arc this season and is unlikely to draw a blank from three-point range again. In the opening series of the postseason, Porter Jr. had not failed to score at least 10 points in 2 straight games and it is hard to see that becoming the case tonight.

Nikola Jokic over 13.5 rebounds (-105)

Jokic dominated the glass in Game 1, securing 22 rebounds. He is likely to continue seeing success in that category here. Being matched up against Isaiah Hartenstein helps. The Thunder center offers little floor spacing and does not pull the Serbian away from the rim. Even when involved in a pick-and-roll with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Canadian is not a huge three-point threat, making just 26.5% of his three-point attempts this postseason. He looks to get to the mid-range instead, allowing Jokic to comfortably drop back in the paint.

The Serbian also spent time matched up against Chet Holmgren in the last game. And while the young forward does have great length, he does give up a lot of bulk to the Nuggets star. It allowed Jokic to push him about in the paint, time and time again getting into more advantageous rebounding positioning. That is unlikely to change for Game 2, so look for him to be a huge factor on the boards once more.

Jalen Williams over 10.5 rebounds+assists (-115)

Jalen Williams has been quietly stuffing the stat sheet for the Thunder this postseason. Through 5 games he has managed to hit the Over on this line on 4 different occasions, including Game 1 of this series. He had success in these categories against the Nuggets in the regular season too, averaging 6 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game.

The Thunder will not oppose guys like Russell Westbrook and Christian Braun from attacking from deep. Considering these are players Williams is likely to be matched up against, it should leave him with more freedom to drop back and help out rebounding the ball. He also sees minutes as the lead playmaker when SGA takes a rest, which should help him build on a 4-assist performance in Game 1. Let’s bank on a productive night from Williams to bring home our Nuggets vs Thunder Same Game Parlay.