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College Football Best Bets

Here you will find our college football best bets for every week of the 2024-25 season. Our cappers have a wealth of experience and expertise in college football bets, data analytics and statistical modelling, to bring you the best NCAAF bets all season long.

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Point Spread (2)

Experts

Pickswise Experts (2)

12:00 PM ETSat Nov 23

Point Spread PickBest Bet

Mississippi -10.0(-110)Mississippi @ Florida

Reasoning

The Ole Miss Rebels’ (8-2) playoff hopes remain intact following their Week 11 win against the Georgia Bulldogs. After a week off, they hit the road to play the Florida Gators (5-5) at the Swamp in Gainesville at noon ET on Saturday. The Gators were also victorious in their last outing, defeating LSU last week at home 27-16. There is an argument that Florida was a bit fortunate in that game, as the Gators were outgained, converted just 3 of 9 third downs, and possessed the ball for less than 19 game minutes compared to LSU’s nearly 42 minutes of possession. However, the Gators did not turn the ball over and were able to generate 6.6 yards per carry against the LSU defense.

The Gators are unlikely to find the same success in terms of offensive explosiveness this week against Ole Miss. For reference, the Rebels are top 40 in preventing explosive plays outside of garbage time since Week 7, while LSU’s defense ranks 128th in that metric. In fact, Ole Miss has one of the best defenses in the country, which does not bode well for Florida based on their results against defenses at or near the same level as Ole Miss. This will be the 5th opponent Florida has played that ranks in the top 50 in defensive PPA, success rate and points per opportunity allowed outside of garbage time on the season as a whole, and the Gators have failed to surpass 20 points against the 4 prior opponents. Ole Miss has not seen much of a drop-off in defensive production against SEC opponents either, as the Rebels are top 20 in PPA since Week 7 with top 50 marks in opposing explosiveness and points per opportunity. Furthermore, the Rebels lead the country in front 7 havoc generated since Week 7, which will likely disrupt Florida’s offensive rhythm given the fact that the Gators offensive line is outside the top 100 in front 7 havoc allowed in that time.

Ole Miss has a similar profile to Texas in that the Rebels average more than 37 points per game with a top 5 mark in yards-per-play margin and a top 25 mark in turnover margin. That being said, the Rebels offense has been more efficient on a down-to-down basis than Texas, which leads me to believe that Ole Miss can replicate Texas’ success against this Florida defense – especially with an extra week to prepare. While double-digit SEC underdogs have printed money against the spread this season, I don’t think the Gators have enough on either side of the ball to keep this game close. I power rate Ole Miss as a 12-point favorite in this game, so I will lay it with the ‘Rebs – who are 3-1 ATS as road favorites of more than a touchdown.

Ole Miss vs Florida prediction: Ole Miss Rebels -10 (-110) at the time of publishing. Playable to -11.5.

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Sam Avellone

3:30 PM ETSat Nov 23

Point Spread PickBest Bet

Arizona State -3.0(-110)BYU @ Arizona State

Reasoning

The Big 12 showdown of the week takes us to Tempe, where the weather is perfect and no one is worried about any winter storms, unlike so much of the rest of the country. Our BYU Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction takes us to a game with huge implications for the Big 12 championship. The winner of this game is a massive favorite to make it to the conference title game, where they have a chance to get into the playoffs. BYU is coming off their first loss of the season, but their hopes are not yet dashed. Arizona State is building off a road upset of Kansas State, and they have themselves on the verge of a great season. They say home field is worth 3 points in betting, but I think this Sun Devil team is just way better than BYU anyway. I am happy to play Arizona State -3 in this one.

Arizona State deserves your attention. Coming into the season, we thought this would be a bad team. They are not. We thought their defense would be bad; turns out, they are a top 50 defense, and they are particularly stout against the run (122 yards allowed per game), and they have done that against some run-heavy conference opponents. They have a quarterback with some serious moxie, and one of the most underrated RBs in the game. As for BYU, this team has been living on borrowed time for weeks. They were gifted a win over Utah 2 weeks ago. They shouldn’t have beaten Baylor. They were underdogs against UCF. They beat Kansas State because of one of the silliest 10-minute stretches in football. They barely beat a banged up Oklahoma State team. Sure, wins are wins, but this team shouldn’t be winning this much. I think the Sun Devils end the BYU story and steal the narrative for themselves on Saturday, and I am happy to lay the points with what I think is the far more talented team.

BYU vs Arizona St Prediction: Arizona State -3 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -5.5.

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Chad Hartsock

NCAAF Best Bets

54.2%

Win %

32Wins

27Losses

2Pushes

Percentage only includes Wins and Losses

College Football Video

What Are Our College Football Best Bets

At Pickswise our team of expert college football handicappers conducts extensive research across all of the best college football action throughout the season and into the postseason, with the sole aim of bringing you the most informed and best free college football bets around.

Alongside our expert analysis, our handicappers will post their prediction for every game including picks on the over/under market, Against the Spread, and Moneyline picks. Each of our selections across Pickswise is given a confidence rating ranging from 1 to 3 stars, with 3 stars being the most confident, and 1 the least.

In addition to our confidence ratings, college football bettors in particular – with the sheer number of games each weekend, like to know what our most confident selections are across the slate. This is where our College Football Best Bets page comes to the fore, here we detail just that, our most confident selections, our NCAAF best bets this weekend.

College Football Best Bets Today

Find all of our best college football bets today, right here on our College Football Best Bets page.

There are countless ways in which you can wager on a college football game and with hundreds of games each week in a typical season, being selective in your wagering is arguably the most important aspect in achieving long-term betting success on college ball.

Covering every game in the required detail is a long process, and then filtering down your picks into those top selections, your best bets is a difficult task. Fortunately, here at Pickswise, we lean on industry-leading analysis and decades of wagering experience to bring you the top NCAAF best bets this week for free. Not only do we break down every match, but we also highlight our best college football bets today right here, each week, so be sure to check back for those best bets across the college football slate.

The College Football Best Bets page works perfectly with our College Football Predictions page where you can find all of our game previews, in addition to our best bets here, to combine for a comprehensive view of today’s college football games.

What Is The Best Site To Wager On Your College Football Best Bets Today

There are many ways in which you can wager on our college football best bets today, with all major sportsbooks all vying to offer the most competitive odds. As with any sports wagering you do, you must compare odds and markets to seek out the best value with all of our NCAAF best bets.

With all of our College Football Picks, and College Football Parlays, we post the best odds, and the sportsbook offers those odds next to our selections.

With the volatility of sports odds, these can change quickly, so be sure to check before you wager. An extra point on the spread can be the difference between winning and losing, and why bet the money line at +250 when you can get +350 elsewhere?

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Best College Football Bets This Weekend

With so many college football games scheduled across the conferences each weekend, you simply can’t bet on them all. Our college football best bets this weekend are just that, our best bets across this weekend’s college football games.

All of our best bets are posted during the week to allow you to take in and break down our analysis and best bets, before deciding whether you agree, and want to place a bet.

Posting our best college football bets ahead of time for this weekend also gives you more time to shop the odds, and in all likelihood, ensure you get the best odds, on our best bets.

Best Bets Against The Spread College Football

The most popular college football bet is betting against the spread (ATS). Against the spread betting isn’t about picking a winner of the game, it’s about picking the team who will cover the spread, a line set by sportsbooks. Let’s say you bet your money that Team A covers the spread (wins by a certain amount of points), Michigan -8.5 for example. Or that Team B will cover the spread (keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect), Penn State +8.5. If Michigan beat Penn State 30-27, then Penn State covers the spread, and underdog backers are cashing tickets with +8.5 on Penn State. Whereas if Michigan wins 30-20, more than 8.5 they cover the spread and favorite backers are cashing tickets.

When Do You Post Your NCAAF Best Bets For This Weekend

We post all of our NCAAF Best Bets at least a day before the scheduled college football match. We wait until this point to allow our expert handicappers to consider every angle such as injury updates, press conferences and team news, as well as extensive statistical research. Our NCAAF Best Bets are exactly what they say on the tin. With so many NCAAF games played each weekend, we have a confidence rating on all of our NCAAF Picks, with 3 stars being the most confident, and then we further narrow down our three-star plays into our NCAAF Best Bets. These will typically be posted on a Thursday or Friday ahead of the weekend’s schedules. Check out this week’s NCAAF Best Bets right here on the College Football Best Bets page.