Soccer Picks

Eastern Conference leaders FC Cincinnati are just 4 points ahead of 4th-placed Columbus Crew and the in-form pair may be tough to split. Each are on a 4-match unbeaten run and the +270 odds about them contesting a 3rd straight head-to-head tie looks good value.

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With Inter Miami’s star-studded attack and Nashville scoring 14 goals during an ongoing 7-match unbeaten run on the road, a goalfest seems likely in Florida. 8 of Inter Miami’s last 10 MLS games have seen 4 goals or more and the same bet should land again.

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Philadelphia have lost their last 2 matches 1-0 but those defeats came against teams in the top 4 of the Eastern Conference, Nashville and Columbus Crew. They should fare better against New York Red Bulls, who are 10 points worse off than their hosts and winless in 12 head-to-heads.

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LA Galaxy have finally steadied the ship after a woeful start and can extend their run of home wins with shutouts to 3 with a comfortable victory over DC United. The visitors have won just 1 of their last 10 MLS matches and have failed to find the net in any of their last 3 games.

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Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea will do battle in the final of the Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, and the English club could make things difficult for the Champions League holders. PSG have been the dominant force in the revamped competition and the UCL winners were mighty impressive when crushing Real Madrid 4-0 in the semifinals. The Parisians hit 17 shots and created an Expected Goals tally of 2.54 against Real, and they limited the La Liga giants to an xG of only 0.68. That blistering performance followed another top-level effort when beating Bayern Munich 2-0 and Luis Enrique’s men are undoubtedly the hottest team in world football. It appears difficult to oppose PSG on their efforts in the knockout stage of the Club World Cup, but perhaps the victories over Real Madrid and Bayern Munich have been a little more taxing than the results suggest. 

Chelsea have enjoyed a serene run to the final, with the Blues untroubled in a 2-1 quarterfinal success over Palmeiras and a 2-0 semifinal victory over Fluminense. The west Londoners allowed only 5 shots on target in those 2 matches and it’s been a cruise through the latter stages of the competition for the Blues.  Chelsea are boosted by the arrival of striker Joao Pedro, who scored twice against Fluminense, and while Enzo Maresca’s men step up in class against PSG, the Stamford Bridge team may be able to offer more than the odds suggest. At +120 odds, taking Chelsea and the tie after 90 minutes on the double chance could be the best way to play the Club World Cup final.

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St. Louis City have won just 3 of their 21 MLS games this season and look vulnerable favorites when they host Portland Timbers. St. Louis sit 2nd-bottom in the West and have scored the 2nd-fewest goals in the conference. They have picked up just 1 point in their last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Timbers are just 6 points off top spot and have lost just 2 of their last 9 games. It’s also worth noting that these teams met just last month, when Portland prevailed 2-1. The Timbers look great value here as underdogs.

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