St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/16/24

The NHL’s Saturday slate kicks off with a matchup between the St. Louis Blues and the Boston Bruins. Both squads look to get back in the win column, as St. Louis in the middle of a 4-game losing streak and Boston dropped its last game to the Dallas Stars. The Blues have been flat-out bad on offense this year, ranking bottom 10 in the NHL in goals, shots on goal, power-play percentage and faceoff percentage. On the road this season they have given up 3.73 goals per game, due to 2 games this year in which they have allowed 8 goals. However, their expected goals against is only at 2.88 — meaning some positive regression is due for the Blues. STL has scored 2 goals or fewer in 3 of its last 4 home games, with the sole exception a game in which it lit the lamp 3 times.

The Bruins have been equally as bad on offense, ranking bottom 10 in the league in goals, shots on goal and power-play percentage. The Bruins average 2.72 goals per home game, however their expected goals per home game is 3.14 — meaning that they are not converting on scoring chances that they should be. The Bruins’ offense is probably being underrated by the media and the odds. They rank in the middle of the league in scoring chances, high-danger chances and high-danger goals per home game, which again contributes to the narrative that the Bruins may be slept on. These 2 teams have played one another already this season, as the Bruins beat the Blues 3-2 in St. Louis. While Jeremy Swayman’s stats have not been what was expected, it cannot be forgotten how dominant he was last season — a form in which I expect him to get back to this year. I like Boston in this one, as I think it hasejust gotten off to a slow and unlucky start. St. Louis shown its true colors already this year.

Blues vs Bruins prediction: Boston ML (-210) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

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