Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 11/20/24

The NHL’s Wednesday slate features a matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes, and the Philadelphia Flyers. The Hurricanes look to extend their winning streak to 3 games, while the Flyers look to bounce back after losing to the Avalanche last time out. The Hurricanes epitomize the saying “defense wins championships” as they rank top 5 in the NHL in goals allowed, shots on goal allowed, and penalty kill percentage (all per game), and currently have the 4th most points in the NHL. The Hurricanes only allow 2.75 goals against per away game, which is right around where they should be as their expected goals against per away game is only 2.89, meaning there is no expected regression. The Hurricanes penalty kill is 8/9 in their last 4 games as well.

The Flyers have had a rocky start to their season, struggling on the defensive side of the ice, allowing 3.47 goals per game. One bright spot to focus on however is that their penalty kill has a 86.4% success rate, good for 4th in the NHL. The Flyers give up 3.08 goals per home game, however their expected number of goals allowed per away game is actually only 2.56. Their penalty kill holds up at home as well, with expected goals allowed being in the top third of the league. Usually whenever teams are well-coached, there are few mistakes, and a disciplined approach to the game. I believe that both the Hurricanes and the Flyers are well-coached, so I anticipate few turnovers, few penalties, and good penalty killing. I like the under in this one.

Hurricanes vs Flyers prediction: Under 6.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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