Get our free expert Super Bowl picks ahead of Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59 on February 9th, 2025. All of our Super Bowl picks are completely free and provided by leading NFL betting experts.

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Point Spread PickBest Bet
KC Chiefs -1.5(-110)

Super Bowl 59 will feature a rematch of the same 2 teams that clashed just 2 years ago. A 38-35 barnburner, the Kansas City Chiefs won their 3rd Vince Lombardi Trophy on that day, despite a near-perfect game from Jalen Hurts and with Philadelphia leading at halftime. Patrick Mahomes even dealt with an injured ankle leading up to the title match. As usual, none of that mattered during the game’s most trying moments, as Mahomes and his colleagues made all the plays they needed to when it mattered most. 

We predict the same thing will happen again in Super Bowl LIX.

It’s easy to see why fans and bettors think this could be Philadelphia’s year. All-world running back Saquon Barkley has reinvigorated his career since leaving the Giants for the City of Brotherly Love, nearly breaking Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record (345 carries for 2,005 yards). Against Washington in the NFC Championship, he was the difference immediately, shedding off tackles and jetting ahead of the Commanders’ defense for a touchdown on his very first play from scrimmage. Jalen Hurts is protected by one of the NFL’s most sturdy offensive lines, and his receiving talent is as good as any in the league. 

On defense, the Eagles completely flipped the script after pitiful results last season. Philadelphia’s acclaimed General Manager, Howie Roseman, brought in veteran defensive coordinator, Vic Fangio, and the results are crystal clear. Aided by phenomenal efforts from defensive tackle Jalen Carter and supreme talent at all 3 levels, Philadelphia has kept 3 exceptional offenses (Packers, Rams and Commanders) to just 55 total points in 3 postseason contests. Full season, the Eagles are in 1st place in a slew of major defensive categories: opponent points per game, yards per game, yards per play and yards per pass (they’re pretty good against the run, too, permitting just 104.4 yards per game, ranked 8th). No matter how this game is analyzed, we have little doubt that the Chiefs will have their hands full.

If the Super Bowl was decided solely based on who’s done it better all season, the Eagles would have a stronger case. Kansas City just doesn’t show as well on paper, especially on offense. They’re 12th in points per game (23.2), 23rd in rush yards per game (103.9) and even their highly touted passing attack hasn’t been nearly as explosive this season; 19th in yards per pass (6.9) and 15th in passing yards per game (220.5). On defense they’re more legitimate — top-10 in opponent points per game, yards per game, points per play, yards per rush and red-zone touchdown percentage.

But like we’ve seen so many times in the past, what matters most is which quarterback can execute at the highest level when their team needs it most. Second to that is which defense will step up and make big-time plays in the clutch. In both cases, perhaps no franchise in NFL history is better equipped than Andy Reid’s Kansas City Chiefs. Mahomes is pure magic in critical moments, and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, arguably the greatest DC of all time, is supremely talented at disguising blitz packages and giving his players an edge when they need a big stop. Love them or hate them, the Kansas City Chiefs simply know how to win, and we’d be foolish to not put our money on their side once again.

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl 59 prediction: Chiefs -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.5.

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Game Totals Pick
Over 49.5(-110)

Just like our diagnosis of the spread, statistics may be misleading when betting on the total in Super Bowl 59. On paper, one might think that the defenses will take over, and for good reason. Philadelphia’s defense has been stifling for a long time now. You’d have to go all the way back to Week 4 to find a 300+ yard passer against Vic Fangio’s unit (Baker Mayfield threw for 334). On the season, they permitted just 184.9 pass yards per game, a 2nd-place rank. And even against a trio of elite passers in the playoffs, that hasn’t changed much (245.6 pass yards per game allowed). Against the run, they’re not always elite, but the Chiefs’ rushing attack hasn’t been as prolific this season, either (KC is 31st in yards per carry, just 3.9).

On the other side, the Chiefs’ defense is peaking (as usual) at the right time. Through 2 games they’ve earned 10 sacks and allowed just 414 yards through the air. Considering the quarterbacks they’ve faced, the ice-cold CJ Stroud and MVP candidate Josh Allen, it’s very impressive. The real concern for Kansas City is in their run defense. Saquon Barkley poses a threat that no defense has been able to stymie this season. Averaging a ridiculous 125 rushing yards per game, Barkley is a dynamic and explosive game changer, and one that KC, a program that’s allowed a few running attacks to succeed in big games (most notably Baltimore and Pittsburgh), should be concerned about. We’re sure DC Steve Stagnoulo will have his men ready, but Barkley and arguably the NFL’s best offensive line is impossible to stop for 4 full quarters.

Even if the Chiefs did limit Philly’s ground attack, we don’t see it limiting points. Both defenses would need to dominate consistently all game to keep each offense under 21-24 points, an unlikely proposition on either side. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have one the most explosive offenses in the league (5th in points per play), and we could see the slight underdogs taking a lead at halftime. That’s what they did 2 years ago. Then, like clockwork, we know Mahomes and the KC offense will respond. The synergy between Andy Reid and his quarterback is second to none, and the same can be said about the team’s chemistry. Laterals, creative screens, trick plays on the goalline — we’ve seen it all from Reid in these big-game situations and we expect him to follow suit. Perhaps the most telling Kansas City statistic is their success on 3rd downs, anchored by Mahomes and his ability to create on the fly. They completed 3rd downs at a 48.19% clip this season (3rd overall), and they were even better last Sunday (5 for 9). 

Eventually, this should turn into a back-and-forth affair between 2 superb quarterbacks, just like what happened in the AFC and NFC Championship games. No defense has proven that it can stop Philadelphia or Kansas City when it matters most this season. We project a 30-27 finish, which sees this game going comfortably over the total.

Chiefs vs Eagles pick: Over 49.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 50.5.

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Chris R. Farley
Player Receptions Pick
M. Brown (KC) - Over 3.5 recs(-118)

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown has had a rough first season with the Chiefs. He didn’t see his first start until Week 16, where he logged 8 targets and 5 receptions for 45 yards. Brown immediately followed that up with 7 targets for 4 receptions and 46 yards. The playoffs have not been as kind to him. In the Divisional Round against Houston, he saw only 2 targets for 0 receptions, while the AFC Championship Game brought him 5 targets and 3 receptions. For the Chiefs, it’s truly a team-first approach that can see any skill position player step up to make plays, but I love Brown at this 3.5 mark.

The Vic Fangio defense is very much bend-don’t-break that has 2 high safeties and light boxes. It makes it very hard to throw over the top and limits the big, explosive plays while keeping everything in front of you.

So, why Marquise Brown? I went back and watched every target he had this season (there weren’t many due to injury) and he’s been thriving underneath with very few deep targets. His aDOT on the season was 8.1 and they used him frequently on plays out to the sidelines in quick outs. Occasionally, these quick outs are used to set up a deep play when the corner bites on his curls, drags, and out routes, but its all done on the basis of him being a short-yardage receiver. It’s why he never went over 46 yards this season, but what was promising was that he had 65%+ offensive snaps in both playoff games. I’m going with 1u on 4+ receptions and 0.5u on 5+ receptions as the best of my Chiefs player props for the Super Bowl.

Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
First Touchdown Type Pick
S. Barkley (PHI) 1st TD to be a rush(-140)

This is a new market exclusive for the Super Bowl, but I like it. Essentially, we need Saquon’s first touchdown to be a rush and not a catch. If he doesn’t score at all then we lose. This is a nice way to pay less juice on Saquon’s regular anytime touchdown line of -190. Kansas City admittedly has a great run defense, but Barkley is the best of the best. Saquon will be playing in the big game on his birthday and it feels written in the stars for him to find the end zone at least once. Kansas City allowed Joe Mixon to run in for one in their first playoff game and James Cook punched in 2 in the AFC Championship game. Barkley has scored 5 rushing TDs in his last 2 games and has only posted 2 receiving touchdowns all season. Neither of those have come in his last 11 starts, so if you like Barkley to score like I do, this looks to be the market to play him on.

Player Receiving Yards Pick
D. Goedert (PHI) - Over 4.5 1Q rec yds(-150)

The Super Bowl is where you should have your most fun betting and where the quirky prop bets are god to target. Dallas Goedert is in a phenomenal spot here against Kansas City. The Chiefs allow the most receiving yards to tight ends in the entire NFL. Goedert has his normal receiving-yards prop in the 50s now and has been a popular pick, but I like zigging when everyone zags. I think this market has more value than his main prop. Goedert has averaged 11.3 receiving yards in the 1st quarter in the NFL Playoffs and is fresh off games of 10 and 20 yards to open the game. Goedert should hit this on 1 catch and I think he will be a big part of Philadelphia’s gameplan. This has ladder potential as well, but for my official play, I’m staying conservative and targeting him to post at least 5 yards in the 1st quarter.

Josh Gayle (ThatGuyBets)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
X. Worthy (KC) to score a TD(+155)

The Bills were victims of their own demise after letting the Chiefs get Xavier Worthy thanks to a draft-day trade between the 2 teams in 2024. We all knew how that was going to turn out, and – sure enough – Worthy played a big role as Kansas City beat Buffalo again in the playoffs. The rookie out of Texas caught 6 of 7 targets (and yes, his especially amazing catch was indeed a catch) for 85 yards and 1 touchdown in the AFC Championship.

That was nothing new for Worthy, either. In the regular season, he scored 6 TDs to go along with 59 receptions on 98 targets for 638 receiving yards. The 21-year-old found the end zone in each of his last 2 regular-season contests and came close to being the first TD scorer in a Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans, but got tackled at the 1-yard line before Kareem Hunt did the rest of the work. Patrick Mahomes has a ton of confidence in Worthy right now; don’t be surprised if that duo connects for another TD in the Super Bowl.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
J. Hurts (PHI) to score a TD(-105)

There’s no need to overthink this one. Getting Hurts at close to even money is a steal. He scored 14 rushing touchdowns during the regular season and already has 4 through 2 playoff games – including 3 in the NFC Championship against the Washington Commanders. The tush push is pretty much unstoppable – at least whenever the Eagles are the ones who are running it (we all saw how it turned out for the Bills). And it’s not like that’s the only way Hurts can score on the ground; he is a fantastic running QB who can go all the way from anywhere on the field.

Also, you can’t forget that Hurts had 3 rushing TDs in Super Bowl 57 against Kansas City. In fact, the Alabama and Oklahoma product scored a touchdown in all 3 postseason games that season. When the lights are brightest, Hurts is happy to do much of the work himself.

Same Game Parlay
Point Spread
KC Chiefs -1.5
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
P. Mahomes (KC) to score a TD
Player Rushing Yards
S. Barkley (PHI) - 100+ rush yds

Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (-110) 

This isn’t that complicated, folks. I’m not betting against Mahomes in the playoffs. I didn’t in Kansas City’s first 2 games and I’m certainly not doing it now – not in the Super Bowl. Yes, Mahomes has lost once in the biggest game in football – but that was to Tom Brady, the only player who still leads him in the GOAT discussion. Mahomes is otherwise 3-0 and has led his team to each of the past 2 titles. He beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 57 and I have full faith that he will do it again in Super Bowl 59.

Of course, it’s not all about the QB. Defensive coordinator has Steve Spagnuolo has his unit absolutely balling. The high-powered Buffalo Bills could not solve K.C.’s defense when it mattered most, nor could many other teams in crunch time during the regular season. Both timely defense and Mahomes’ clutch gene are big reasons why the Chiefs have won a hard-to-believe 17 consecutive 1-possession games. This may be another close Super Bowl; and if it’s close, you have to like Kansas City down the stretch. 

Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown (+460) 

When the moments are most important, Mahomes often takes matters into his own hands. We just saw him keep it 11 times for 43 yards and 2 touchdowns in last week’s thriller against Buffalo. The 3-time Super Bowl MVP did not find the end zone with his feet in last year’s Super Bowl, but he at least gained 66 yards on the ground. In a 2021 Divisional Round win over the Bills, Mahomes rushed for 69 yards and a score. He also had a rushing TD in the 2020 Divisional Round against the Cleveland Browns after scoring himself in each of the last 2 playoff games in 2019 (the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans and the Super Bowl against the San Francisco 49ers).

Meanwhile, Philadelphia was in the bottom half of the NFL this season in quarterback rushing yards allowed, quarterback rushing attempts and quarterback rushing TDs. At long odds, Mahomes has great value to reach paydirt.

Saquon Barkley to record 100+ rushing yards (-195) 

Barkley’s over/under is set at 112.5, but I will tease it down to the century mark for a safer play. Even at that number, its addition to the parlay provides a massive boost to the payout. And there is no reason why he can’t get to 100. After all, Barkley’s 3 rushing totals so far during these playoffs are 119, 205 and 118. Dating back to the regular season, the Penn State product has delivered 5 consecutive 100-yard performances (also with efforts of 150 and 167). He has surpassed the 100 mark in a whopping 9 of the last 10 games – a stretch that features a 255-yard outburst at the Los Angeles Rams’ expense in Week 12.

The Chiefs’ run defense is no slouch, but it did get torched by James Cook and the Bills in the AFC title tilt (Cook had 13 carries for 85 yards and Buffalo as a team finished with 147 yards and 2 touchdowns on 32 attempts). Expect another 3-figure effort from Barkley to bring home our Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Same Game Parlay.

Ricky Dimon
First Touchdown Scorer Pick
J. Hurts (PHI) to score the 1st TD(+650)

Of all of the players on either team, Jalen Hurts at this price is as close to a must-bet as I can find in this market. After all, Hurts has tallied 14 rushing touchdowns during the regular season and already has 4 through 2 playoff games – including a first-touchdown winner against the Rams in the Divisional Round. Philadelphia often turns to its quarterback to find the end zone via the tush push near the goal line, and it’s entirely possible that the Eagles march the ball inside the 5-yard line on the game’s opening drive and punch in an early score.

Hurts had 3 rushing TDs in Super Bowl 57 against Kansas City, including the game’s first touchdown at the 10-minute mark in the opening quarter. At this price, it’s hard to ignore the value we’re getting on the Eagles quarterback in this one.

Last Touchdown Scorer Pick
P. Mahomes (KC) to score the last TD(+2100)

I generally try to hone in on a larger-odds bet for this market, but it was hard for me to target an Eagles player considering that Hurts is the most logical pick on the board for Philadelphia. Instead, I’m going to target a Chiefs player and focus on Patrick Mahomes’ ability to use his legs in the biggest moments to get the job done. Time and again, Mahomes has relied on his legs in these Super Bowl games, and we saw him pick up 66 yards on 9 carries against the 49ers in Super Bowl 58.

Back in 2023 against this same Eagles team, Mahomes ripped off a massive run on the game’s final drive to set up Kansas City in position to win in the red zone. Just last week, we saw him take matters into his own hands in the red zone to score the Chiefs’ final touchdown of the AFC Championship game from 10 yards out. It wouldn’t surprise me if Kansas City turned to its quarterback to make a play with his legs in the final minutes of a close game yet again.

Caleb Wilfinger
Kansas City Chiefs

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Philadelphia Eagles

Super Bowl 59 Picks

Pickswise is the home of 2025 Super Bowl picks and betting previews. Our experts spend hours researching the statistics and data for the big game, culminating in the most informed, researched, and very best free betting picks for Super Bowl LIX, which takes place on Sunday, February 9, 2025.

Check out our experts’ Super Bowl 59 picks for Chiefs vs Eagles across all the top betting markets including Super Bowl Prop Bets and Super Bowl Parlays.

The Home Of Free Expert Super Bowl 59 Picks

Football wagering is easily the most popular among North American sports bettors and there is no single bigger event on the calendar than the culmination of the NFL season, the Super Bowl. NFL betting is unique in that point spreads, favorites, and picks are widely discussed year long, on every game, the Super Bowl is no different. The Super Bowl is preceded by an entire week of media, interviews, analysis, and build-up like no other.

With all of this attention comes a different challenge when making Super Bowl picks, with just one game to focus on, sportsbooks scrutinize every line and every market. There are also a lot more markets made available for the Super Bowl than you’ll be accustomed to with an NFL game, and our expert handicappers are on hand to research every angle and Super Bowl market to produce the best free Expert Super Bowl Picks as well as our Super Bowl Best BetsSuper Bowl Parlays. At Pickswise, we have all of your Super Bowl Picks, analysis, and stats under one roof.

Free Super Bowl Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, and the Super Bowl Picks take that to another level. On a typical NFL game, you are able to wager picks against the spread, over/under, parlays, prop bets, and more, there really is a wager type for every kind of football fan and sports bettor.

The Super Bowl has even more of each wager type and even has unique Super Bowl picks such as the national Anthem length, the artists opening song of the Half Time Show, to the color of the Gatorade shower.

Some bettors like to specialize in a single type of Super Bowl pick, while others may like to place a few picks just to add a bit of fun alongside watching the game.

At Pickswise all of our Super Bowl picks are fully researched by our expert handicappers and are accompanied with full analysis and reasoning for the pick. So no matter what type of sports bettor you are, new or old, seasoned or rookie, we have all bases covered here with our Super Bowl picks.

Free Super Bowl Picks Against The Spread

The most popular way to bet on the Super Bowl is against the spread (ATS). Much like the regular season, where it is a weekly staple for sports bettors, everyone from TV Analysts to professional sports bettors cast their opinion on which way the spread will land. With a Super Bowl pick Against the Spread, you are not simply picking who will lift the Lombardi Trophy but who will cover the spread, as set by sportsbooks ahead of the Super Bowl.

For example, in 2021 the Los Angeles Rams were 4-point favorites, which meant to cover the spread they had to win by more than 4 points, or for Cincinnati to win against the spread, they would have to win or lose by less than 4 points. The final score was 23-20 to the Rams, therefore although they won the Super Bowl, the Bengals covered the spread.

You can find our experts’ Super Bowl against the spread pick for Chiefs vs Eagles in 2025 right here.

Super Bowl Over / Under Picks

Over/Under Super Bowl Picks are perfect when you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win and there is often no game more highly contested than the Super Bowl itself. Instead of choosing a team to win, or a team to cover the spread, you wager against a pre-set game total points line, and whether you see the game hitting over or under that line. This way you have both teams working for you, if you back the over you just sit back and hope it rains points, or for a tight, tactical low scoring affair with the under.

The exciting thing about this market, is you are often never out of it, particularly with taking the overs. The game could be done but a last-ditch Field Goal to seal it or a successful hail-mary by the trailing team can be the difference, and often is, with the over or under hitting.

Our experts put hours of research every week to preview the over-under markets and the Super Bowl over/under picks are no different. From experienced handicapping, watching every game and a wealth of statistical analysis including team news, injuries, weather and more, our over/under Super Bowl picks for Chiefs vs Eagles in Super Bowl 59 are the best free picks anywhere.

Money Line Super Bowl Picks

Any seasoned or long term sports better will tell you, that while a bet against the spread is exciting and the odds are better, it can be equally frustrating. An NFL team, in theory, is looking to win by 1, and in no game more so than the Super Bowl. Of course they’d love to win by more and take a 20 point lead into the fourth quarter, but sports often aren’t like that.

With Money line wagering, you are simply picking a team to win, it’s that simple. If you wager the favorite on the Money line, you often won’t get great odds but it’s seen as a safer pick, betting the underdogs, however, can see you pick up great odds on the upset.

The Super Bowl sees the two best teams on the year face off (usually) so the margins are often a lot finer, Chiefs vs Eagles in the 2025 Super Bowl is no exception. With this in mind you can often get pretty good odds for either team and don’t have to worry about covering the spread.

Our Super Bowl picks on the Money line are well-researched and fully explained. Our expert handicappers rely on decades of experience as well as statistical analysis to provide you the best, free Money line Super Bowl Picks.

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Who is picked to win the 2025 Super Bowl

Ahead of the 2025 Super Bowl the Kansas City Chiefs are a slight favorite to win over the Philadelphia Eagles.

Who picks the Super Bowl MVP

The Super Bowl MVP, or Most Valuable Player to give it its full name, is chosen by a panel of 16 football writers and broadcasters, with fans also able to vote electronically since Super Bowl XXXV in 2001. The media ballots count for 80% of the vote tally, with the viewers making up the remaining 20%.

Super Bowl Picks FAQs

The most favored teams to go to Super Bowl 59 ahead of the 2025 season were the same teams that competed in 2024, the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs backed this up by reaching their fifth Super Bowl in six seasons but this time they will face the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl 57.

The Kansas City Chiefs are currently favoured to win Super Bowl 59, ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles.

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