Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 01/12/25
WWWWW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| 12-5 | Record | 10-7 |
| 10-6-1 | ATS Record | 10-7-0 |
| 11-6 | O/U Record | 12-5 |
Vote on who will cover the spread!
Commanders vs Buccaneers Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Sunday night primetime matchup on Super Wild Card Weekend pits the Washington Commanders against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Just like last year, Tampa Bay took the back door into the playoffs by winning the moribund NFC South. Unlike last year, the Bucs don’t get to face an opponent that is spiraling out of control — as the Philadelphia Eagles were 12 months ago. This time around it’s a much different beast from the NFC East. The Commanders lost at Tampa Bay in Week 1 of the regular season, but this is an entirely different football team now. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has emerged as one of the most dynamic signal-callers in the league and he has led Washington to 5 straight wins heading into the playoffs — including 1 over the NFC East champion Eagles. 4 of the Commanders’ 5 setbacks in their 12-5 record have come against playoff teams.
It is true that the Bucs are playing well (6-1 record in their last 7 games), but — after getting swept by the Atlanta Falcons — they needed a second-half collapse by Atlanta to steal the worst division in football. As for their 6-1 stretch, enthusiasm surrounding it should be tempered. They own just 1 win over a playoff opponent (the Los Angeles Chargers) during this stretch and their loss came to an atrocious Dallas Cowboys squad. In a must-win situation in Week 18, Tampa Bay came relatively close to being upset by the New Orleans Saints — who were without question one of the worst teams in the NFL down the stretch, and really dating all the way back to Week 3. Baker Mayfield is balling, but there isn’t a lot to like about this team other than Mayfield and Mike Evans. There is no way I’m giving more than a field goal to the Commanders, who have a good chance to also win outright.
Commanders vs Buccaneers prediction: Commanders +3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.
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Ricky Dimon
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The Over is 4-1 in the Buccaneers' last 5 matchups against NFC teams.
The Commanders went 10-6-1 against the spread during the regular season.
The Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC East teams.
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