HomeNFLNFL PredictionsWashington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Odds and NFC Championship Game Picks

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Odds and NFC Championship Game Picks for Sunday, 01/26/25

Updated: 11:28 AM ET Jan 21, 2025

Lincoln Financial FieldFOX

Commanders

3:00 PM ETSun Jan 26

Eagles

WWWWW	Last 5	LWWWW
12-5	Record	14-3
12-6-1	ATS Record	12-7-0
12-7	O/U Record	8-11

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Best Bets

NFL

Point Spread PickBest Bet

WAS Commanders +6.5(-115)WAS Commanders @ PHI Eagles

Reasoning

The Commanders and Eagles will meet for a 3rd time this season and while the entire football world is engrossed over the enigma that is Jayden Daniels, apparently the market doesn’t agree. The Eagles have risen from -4.5 opening chalk to now as high as -6.5 favorites at many books, an understandable designation but one that will undoubtedly allure many public bettors to put some hard-earned cash on Washington’s new prodigy — and we don’t blame them!

Daniels is mystifying, showing poise and exceptional in-game decision-making as if he’s been in the NFL for a decade. He presents a very Patrick Mahomes-like demeanor, with an equally Mahomes-like ability to make plays either with his arm or legs in unconventional ways. As we’ve seen many times before, a franchise can be very flawed and still win championships when they get their coach and quarterback right, and it seems that’s what the Commanders are moving towards. Last weekend, Daniels was nearly perfect, throwing 22-31 for 299 yards, 2 touchdowns, and another 51 yards on the ground. No one would have predicted this prodigious climb in year 1 of Daniels’ career, but the Commanders are responding and playing exceptionally well across their roster.

Last week, in Detroit, the Commanders forced Jared Goff into 3 uncharacteristic interceptions. They immediately put pressure on the Lions’ esteemed thrower, sacking him twice and knocking him down another 7 times. Goff was under constant duress, and while the Lions still gained 521 yards and 31 points, we still consider it a major win for their defense. The Lions are always an offensive juggernaut at home, but most of their production was gained because they were playing from behind. Fascinatingly, after Washington went up 17-14 halfway through the 2nd quarter, Detroit never gained another lead, so Goff and a desperate offense were playing catchup for 63% of the game.

We have less to say about the Eagles because we’re not as impressed. Winning at home against a program you’ve always matched up well against is, at this point, an expectation for the Eagles, but the truth is they barely got past the Rams. Saquon Barkley (205 rushing yards) and a tenacious defense (5 sacks, forced 2 turnovers) were the 2 biggest reasons why they succeeded, factors that we’re certainly considering as this Sunday approaches. Still, for the 2nd straight week, Jalen Hurts and the pass-offense was rather anemic, accruing just 65 total passing yards. Hurts was also sacked 7 times and they just couldn’t put the game away like we’ve seen so many times in the past.

Washington coach Dan Quinn and of course rookie sensation Daniels are less experienced in these big-game situations in the NFL. We could care less. Daniels and his colleagues have shown that they can handle the pressure and that only amplifies when you consider the familiarity of a divisional opponent. Over their past 4 meetings, the Commanders are 1-3, but they’ve only lost by 3, 7 and 8-point margins, and they were all before they had Daniels in his current form. We’re going with the dog.

Commanders vs Eagles prediction: Commanders +6.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to 5.5.

Bet like a Caesar with this awesome new customer offer from Caesars, where you can get a welcome boost worth up to $1,000 on Caesars. Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PICKSWISE1000, where you can bet on our Commanders vs Eagles picks.

BET +6.0 NOW WITH

Chris R. Farley

Commanders vs Eagles Pickswise Expert Predictions

NFL

Game Totals Pick

Over 47.5(-110)WAS Commanders @ PHI Eagles

Reasoning

Fortunately, it looks like Mother Nature won’t be causing any headaches this Sunday. As of Tuesday morning, Philadelphia is forecasted to be sunny and mildly cold (43 degrees), with some wind but not enough to be a hindrance to a good passing attack. Then again, only 1 program’s passing game has looked formidable in the NFC playoffs.

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ offense are not finding much success through the air. Not counting sacks, which would decrease total pass yards significantly, Hurts has thrown for just 259 yards (131 against the Packers, 128 against the Rasms) in 2 playoff wins. Green Bay and LA’s defenses may have had something to do with that, but both rank as below-average units against the pass this season. Washington has been able to achieve significant pressure on opposing quarterbacks in their 2 playoff games, and their defense already limited Philadelphia’s passing attack twice in the regular season (206 in Game 1, 127 in Game 2).

So the Commanders are going to slow this contest down and this total will go under, right? Well, we’re not confident in that take, and that’s largely because of Jayden Daniels. The rookie phenom has been sensational since the start of December. Through his last 6 starts (we won’t count Week 18, where he only played briefly), all Commanders wins, Daniels is averaging 247 passing yards, 66 rushing yards, 3 touchdowns and just 0.66 interceptions per game. He also has yet to throw a pick in the playoffs, and his completion percentage is a staggering 72% in the same span. Not surprisingly, the Washington offense has followed suit, averaging 33 points per game in their past 6 contests, too.

The Eagles’ defense has been fantastic, for the most part, but they haven’t completely slowed down their opponents. Last Sunday, Matthew Stafford and the Rams gained 402 yards on their defense, in the wind and snow and in hostile territory, and they probably would have scored more points if it wasn’t for 2 costly turnovers. Washington put up 33 points the last time they met the Eagles in Week 16, and we do not see any reality where they don’t put up at least 22-24 points in this affair. Since that’s what we project and since the market thinks Philly will win by a touchdown, we can’t look away from the Over.

Commanders vs Eagles prediction: Over 47.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

You can bet on our Commanders vs Eagles pick with BetMGM, where right now new users can activate your new BetMGM account ⚡ and get up to $1,500 in first-bet protection!

BET o48.0 NOW WITH

Chris R. Farley

Chris Farley

Show Bio

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.

@FarleyBets

Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly!

Bet $5 on any sports market and get $200 in bonus bets instantly

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly!

Bet $5 on any sports market and get $200 instantly

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly!

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly!

Bet $5 on any sports market and get $200 in bonus bets instantly

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537). See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Coins

Get up to 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 FREE Sweeps Coins upon signup

You’ll get a 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 free Sweeps Coins upon signup

Start making bets with the at the Sportzino Social Sportsbook & Casino

Get up to 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 FREE Sweeps Coins upon signup

Coins

Get up to 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 FREE Sweeps Coins upon signup

You’ll get a 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 free Sweeps Coins upon signup

Start making bets with the at the Sportzino Social Sportsbook & Casino

Get up to 1,570,000 Gold Coins + 45 FREE Sweeps Coins upon signup