Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds and SNF Picks for Today, 12/22/24
LWWWW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
8-6 | Record | 6-8 |
9-5-0 | ATS Record | 5-9-0 |
9-5 | O/U Record | 8-6 |
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The market is giving the Cowboys some respect after their most recent win, a 30-14 butt-whooping over the Panthers last Sunday. Of course, Carolina was favored in that game, the spread even went up to -3 at certain points, so perhaps Dallas felt disrespected and gained extra motivation. Those are the little stimulants teams like Dallas need to be competitive at this juncture in the season since their playoff chances remain very slim. We give credit to their defense, a unit that controlled their Week 15 matchup from start to finish and capitalized on a litany of mistakes by the Panthers’ offense. The Cowboys’ offense also took advantage of one of the league’s worst defenses, stacking up 410 total yards, including a rare, successful performance on the ground (Rico Dowdle ran for 149 yards on 25 carries). Of course, there’s another factor that we must consider about the Cowboys, and that’s their poor play at home. Dallas has only won a single game all season at AT&T Stadium, a closely fought victory against arguably the NFL’s worst program, the New York Giants, on Thanksgiving. Otherwise, they’re 1-6 straight up with a staggering average point differential of -17 in front of their fans. They’ll have another difficult test at home on Sunday Night Football.
The Bucs are on a roll right now. Demolishing one of the NFL’s surprise teams last week, Tampa rolled to a 40-17 victory over the Chargers, a statement performance and their 4th straight win. They’ve outscored their last 4 opponents 124-60. To be fair, they haven’t exactly faced a who’s-who of elite competition in that span (opponents Giants, Panthers, Raiders and Chargers), but wins are wins and the Bucs control their destiny, sitting in 1st place in the NFC South with an advantageous schedule ahead (at Cowboys, vs Panthers, vs Saints). We appreciate Dallas’ fight and vigor last week at Carolina, but the Bucs are a different beast. Baker Mayfield is in a groove, Mike Evans is playing at an elite level (as always) as their #1 wideout, Bucky Irving is explosive and productive, and their defense is playing as well as they have all season. We’ll take the team in better health, with more momentum and with plenty more motivation.
Buccaneers vs Cowboys prediction: Bucs -4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.5.
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Buccaneers vs Cowboys Pickswise Expert Predictions
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The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games against teams with winning records.
6 of the Buccaneers' last 8 road games have gone Over the total.
The Cowboys have won 3 straight matchups against NFC teams.
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