Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds and SNF Picks for Today, 12/22/24

AT&T StadiumNBC
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
Today
Cowboys
Cowboys
LWWWW
Last 5
LWWLW
8-6Record6-8
9-5-0ATS Record5-9-0
9-5O/U Record8-6

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Dallas Cowboys

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
Dallas Cowboys
Point Spread PickBest Bet
TB Buccaneers -4.0(-105)TB Buccaneers @ DAL Cowboys

The market is giving the Cowboys some respect after their most recent win, a 30-14 butt-whooping over the Panthers last Sunday. Of course, Carolina was favored in that game, the spread even went up to -3 at certain points, so perhaps Dallas felt disrespected and gained extra motivation. Those are the little stimulants teams like Dallas need to be competitive at this juncture in the season since their playoff chances remain very slim. We give credit to their defense, a unit that controlled their Week 15 matchup from start to finish and capitalized on a litany of mistakes by the Panthers’ offense. The Cowboys’ offense also took advantage of one of the league’s worst defenses, stacking up 410 total yards, including a rare, successful performance on the ground (Rico Dowdle ran for 149 yards on 25 carries). Of course, there’s another factor that we must consider about the Cowboys, and that’s their poor play at home. Dallas has only won a single game all season at AT&T Stadium, a closely fought victory against arguably the NFL’s worst program, the New York Giants, on Thanksgiving. Otherwise, they’re 1-6 straight up with a staggering average point differential of -17 in front of their fans. They’ll have another difficult test at home on Sunday Night Football.

The Bucs are on a roll right now. Demolishing one of the NFL’s surprise teams last week, Tampa rolled to a 40-17 victory over the Chargers, a statement performance and their 4th straight win. They’ve outscored their last 4 opponents 124-60. To be fair, they haven’t exactly faced a who’s-who of elite competition in that span (opponents Giants, Panthers, Raiders and Chargers), but wins are wins and the Bucs control their destiny, sitting in 1st place in the NFC South with an advantageous schedule ahead (at Cowboys, vs Panthers, vs Saints).  We appreciate Dallas’ fight and vigor last week at Carolina, but the Bucs are a different beast. Baker Mayfield is in a groove, Mike Evans is playing at an elite level (as always) as their #1 wideout, Bucky Irving is explosive and productive, and their defense is playing as well as they have all season. We’ll take the team in better health, with more momentum and with plenty more motivation.

Buccaneers vs Cowboys prediction: Bucs -4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.5.

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Chris R. Farley

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Pickswise Expert Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL
Dallas Cowboys
Game Totals Pick
Over 48.5(-110)TB Buccaneers @ DAL Cowboys

The market believes the Cowboys’ defense is legitimate lately; we’re challenging that notion. Without Dak Prescott, the pressure has surely risen on Dallas’ defense, a group that often has to compensate for lack of production from Cooper Rush and a very limited run game. In recent weeks, against some of the worst offenses in the NFL (Giants and Panthers), they’ve done well, holding both to under 250 total yards in those matchups. Against more formidable recent offenses (Eagles, Commanders, Texans and Bengals), they permitted 396 yards per game.

Tampa Bay falls into the latter category. To the surprise of many analysts, who wrote off Tampa before the season, Baker Mayfield and his colleagues are performing even better than they did last year. The Bucs are ranked in the top 6 in yards per game, points per game, 3rd-down conversion rate, 4th-down conversion rate and red-zone touchdown rate. In short, the Bucs have turned into one of the best offenses in the NFL, with a feisty leader in Mayfield who’s found a home he fits in perfectly (1,428 yards, 11 touchdowns, 5 interceptions the last 6 weeks), and anchored by veteran wide-receiver Mike Evans (749 yards, 9 touchdowns). They’ve also elevated their rushing attack with Bucky Irving, who’s averaging an exceptional 5.6 yards per carry. 

Tampa’s defense has its flaws (30th in opponent pass yards per game, 27th in opponent total yards per game), and we expect Dallas’ offense to positively regress at home after quite a few stinkers; more evidence to support a high-scoring game on Sunday night. In a dome, we see a potential shootout in the making.

Bucs vs Cowboys prediction: Over 48.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris R. Farley
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Chris Farley

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Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games against teams with winning records.

Game Totals

6 of the Buccaneers' last 8 road games have gone Over the total.

Money Line

The Cowboys have won 3 straight matchups against NFC teams.

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Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $150 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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