Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/10/24

Northwest StadiumCBS
Steelers
Steelers
Sun Nov 10
Commanders
Commanders
LLWWW
Last 5
WLWWW
6-2Record7-2
6-2-0ATS Record7-1-1
4-4O/U Record6-3
Washington Commanders

Best Bets

Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
Washington Commanders
Point Spread PickBest Bet
PIT Steelers +2.5(+100)PIT Steelers @ WAS Commanders

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Washington Commanders will face off this Sunday in a battle between 2 of the biggest surprises this season. Pittsburgh’s win total was 8.5 entering the year, while Washington just surpassed their 6.5 win total with their 7th win last week. Additionally, Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels is the odds-on favorite to win the NFL Rookie of the Year, and he’s even in the race for NFL MVP (+1000 at Caesars Sportsbook). Daniels has completely revitalized a Washington offense that ranks #1 in the NFL in expected points added (EPA), and it can’t be understated how he’s changed this team. However, he will likely have his work cut out for him this Sunday, as Pittsburgh is the best defense the Commanders will go up against this season. 

The Steelers are 6th in the NFL in defensive EPA (-0.08 EPA) and give up just 14.9 points per game (2nd in the NFL). They’ve been extremely good at stopping the run (90.5 yards allowed per contest — 4th in the NFL), which is necessary against a Commanders offense that racks up 163.9 rushing yards per game (3rd in the NFL). Additionally, QB Russell Wilson has played great since his first start in Week 7, as the Steelers rank 5th in the NFL in offensive EPA with Wilson under center. Now he will face a Commanders defense that has played well the last 3 weeks, but those games were against the Giants, Bears and Panthers, who all rank in the bottom half of the NFL in scoring.

I expected this game to be closer to a pick ‘em, as the Commanders’ lone win against a team with a winning record was against the Cardinals. Additionally, Washington head coach Dan Quinn is just 25-35 ATS as a favorite, while Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is 61-35-4 ATS and Wilson is 40-23-2 ATS as an underdog. Finally, the Steelers are coming off their bye week, and Tomlin’s team has gone 13-4 after the bye, winning 7 straight contests. Expect all 4 trends to continue this Sunday and back the Steelers to cover the spread and possibly win this game outright.

Steelers vs Commanders prediction: Pittsburgh +2.5 (+100) available at time of publishing, playable down to +1.5 (-110).

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Luke Lindholm

Steelers vs Commanders Pickswise Expert Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
Washington Commanders
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.5(-110)PIT Steelers @ WAS Commanders

The second half of my Steelers vs Commanders predictions is for Sunday’s game to be a sloppy, low-scoring affair. I expect the Steelers to take away the Commanders’ rushing attack, which is their main source of offense. Not only is Pittsburgh elite at stopping the run, but they haven’t been giving up many points away from home. The Steelers held the Falcons to 10 in Atlanta, Broncos to 6 in Denver, Raiders to 13 in Las Vegas and only the Colts had success (27 points) against Pittsburgh. 

For the Commanders, it will be about stopping the Steelers’ rushing attack and making Russell Wilson beat them through the air. Pittsburgh averages just 190.0 passing yards per game (26th in the NFL), and Washington traded for CB Marshon Lattimore from the Saints this week. He’s currently questionable for Sunday’s contest, but he’d be a big boost for the Commanders’ secondary. I expect Washington to stack the box against the Steelers because their rushing defense hasn’t been very strong this year (143.0 rushing yards allowed per game — 29th in the NFL). 

The total has gone over in 3 straight games for the Steelers, but 45.5 is the highest total Pittsburgh has seen all season. Additionally, the Under has cashed in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games against Pittsburgh, and a low-scoring game favors Pittsburgh. Therefore, I’ll back the Under this Sunday and expect this game to finish with both teams scoring fewer than 24 points.

Steelers vs Commanders prediction: Under 45.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing, playable down to 45 (-110).

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Luke Lindholm
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Luke Lindholm

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Luke Lindholm is the Managing Editor of US Media Partnerships for Spotlight Sports Group (SSG) and is living in Boston, Massachusetts. Luke has been handicapping NCAAF and Soccer for more than five years and loves sharing knowledge with other knowledgeable handicappers in the sports betting industry. For Luke Lindholm media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Point Spread

The Steelers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.

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The Under has been a winning bet in the Steelers' last 3 games coming off a bye week.

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The Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs.

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Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet losses, earn a a one-time Bonus Bettoken equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

bet365

$1,000

Bet $5 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets OR $1,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $150 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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