Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/29/24
WLWWW | Last 5 | WLLLW |
3-0 | Record | 1-2 |
3-0-0 | ATS Record | 2-1-0 |
0-3 | O/U Record | 1-2 |
Steelers vs Colts Pickswise Expert Predictions
The undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers will head to Indianapolis this week for a Week 4 matchup with the Colts, and I fully expect Mike Tomlin’s men to continue their undefeated run. The Colts enter this matchup with a 1-2 record after they picked up their first win last Sunday against the Bears, 21-16. They tallied 150 rushing yards in that one, which appears to be the only way they’ll win football games this year because QB Anthony Richardson is completing just 49.3% of his passes to go with 3 TDs and 6 INTs. Although he’s an absolute specimen of arm power, the accuracy hasn’t been there, and he will likely struggle against a Pittsburgh defense that’s giving up just 157.7 passing yards per contest (5th in the NFL) while recording 4 interceptions.
Pittsburgh picked up their first home win of the season after starting 2-0 on the road, as they suffocated a Chargers offense that had previously had their way via the run game. The Chargers had 176 and 219 rushing yards in their first 2 wins but managed to record just 61 yards on the ground in Pittsburgh. In my best bet last week, I discussed how Pittsburgh would take away the ground game from the Chargers, and they did exactly that. I expect a similar story in Indianapolis, as the Colts average 131.3 rushing yards per contest (11th in the NFL), but they’re facing a Steelers defense allowing just 71.3 rushing yards on average (T-2nd in the NFL).
The Steelers have a 2-game lead in the AFC North through 3 weeks, and I expect them to continue to put pressure on the Bengals, Browns and Ravens, who have all had slow starts to the year. Additionally, this Colts defense could be without 2 starters on defense, as DE Tyquan Lewis and CB Kenny Moore II did not participate in Wednesday’s practice. RT Braden Smith also has a questionable tag for Sunday, and if he cannot play, Indy’s ground game will likely suffer. Overall, this feels like a game that could get ugly early, which tends to play in Pittsburgh’s favor, and I expect them to win and cover the 1.5-point spread, as they’ve now won by 2+ points in 22 regular season games.
Steelers vs Colts prediction: Steelers -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable down to -2.5.
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Model projections coming soon
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
The Under has cashed in the Steelers' last 3 games.
The Steelers are on a 3-game winning streak.
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