Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Odds and TNF Picks for Today, 11/21/24
WWWWW | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| 8-2 | Record | 2-8 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS Record | 3-7-0 |
| 5-5 | O/U Record | 4-6 |
Steelers vs Browns Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Steelers are coming off one of their most impressive wins of the season, defeating their arch-rival, the Baltimore Ravens, and solidifying their spot at the top of the AFC North. Pittsburgh didn’t score a single TD in their win, which is somewhat concerning, but their defense was extremely focused. By now, even non-NFL fans know that the Ravens are one of the premiere offenses in the league, but the hometown Steelers kept the visitors to just 329 yards and 16 first downs. They also held Derrick Henry to just 65 yards and forced 3 turnovers. No matter what brand of offense they bring, if the Steelers can continue to play at that level defensively, this is a program that can go far. The question for Thursday is – on a short week and off such an emotional victory, how motivated will Pittsburgh be in what we’d perceive to be a quintessential “let-down” spot against a spiraling Cleveland squad?
By “spiraling,” we’re probably taking it easy on the Browns. Last week, Jameis Winston returned to the venue where he last played, a spot where many thought he’d shine, and instead the Browns were taken to the woodshed. After a close first half, New Orleans cruised to 35-14 victory in the bayou, as Cleveland permitted 473 yards to a Saints offense that’s looked pedestrian in previous weeks. The Browns put up plenty of offense, too (442 yards), but their defense was just too flawed, allowing a staggering 8.2 yards per play. But that’s not an outlier this season – Cleveland allows explosive plays to opposing offenses very often, rated 27th or worse in opponent points per play, and yards per pass/rush. The Browns have lost 7 of their last 8 contests and their point-differential is a disgusting -9.4 margin per game in that span.
The Steelers deserve their designation as road favorites on Thursday Night Football, and we could argue they should be an even stronger favorite. Sure, it’s a short week, on the road, off a big win, but Pittsburgh has been as consistent as any program in the NFL and they just had a “bye” in Week 9. These are 2 franchises going in opposite directions and, despite a low-total and perceived close game by oddsmakers, we see the visitors pulling away late.
Steelers vs Browns prediction: Steelers -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 4.
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The Steelers have covered the Spread in four of their last five matchups against AFC North opponents.
5 of the Steelers' last 6 matchups against AFC North teams have gone Under the total.
The Steelers have won their last 4 matchups against AFC North opposition.
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