Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/21/24

M&T Bank StadiumFOX
Steelers
Steelers
Today
Ravens
Ravens
WLWWL
Last 5
WLWLW
10-4Record9-5
10-4-0ATS Record7-6-1
7-7O/U Record11-3

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Baltimore Ravens

Steelers vs Ravens Pickswise Expert Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
Baltimore Ravens
Point Spread Pick
PIT Steelers +6.5(-115)PIT Steelers @ BAL Ravens

One month after the Pittsburgh Steelers knocked off the Baltimore Ravens in another instance of the underdog winning outright in this storied AFC North rivalry, these teams will meet again with a division title on the line on Saturday in Baltimore. This is a series where underdogs typically shine, as the ‘dog is 19-2-3 against the spread since Mike Tomlin and Jim Harbaugh assumed the head coaching duties at each team. There will be plenty of talk regarding Lamar Jackson’s poor performance against Pittsburgh in his career, and that narrative is certainly warranted. After all, the Ravens are just 1-4 in Jackson’s starts against the Steelers, and he’s had just 5 touchdowns to 8 interceptions in those games. Against a defense that has historically given him fits (and could be getting T.J. Watt back following an injury scare a week ago), it’s hard to trust Jackson to be at his best in what is likely the most important game of the season for both teams to this point.

The Steelers’ offense isn’t a very consistent unit, but what they do well is generate explosive plays downfield in the passing game with Russell Wilson at the helm. And while George Pickens is expected to miss another week due to injury, Pittsburgh should still look to run the ball, chew up clock in order to shorten the game and look for Wilson to connect on a double of deep passing plays against a Ravens secondary that has struggled all season long with allowing explosives. While Baltimore’s defense has been playing a lot better in recent weeks, it’s not like the offenses the Ravens were facing are anything to write home about. And even in a solid overall showing against the red-hot Eagles, Baltimore couldn’t get stops in that game when it mattered most. There’s a real possibility that the Ravens win this game, but not by a full touchdown or more. Tomlin as an underdog has been historically great in this type of spot, so let’s go back to the well once more in this AFC North clash.

Steelers vs Ravens prediction: Steelers +6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 6.

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Caleb Wilfinger
Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
Baltimore Ravens
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.5(-110)PIT Steelers @ BAL Ravens

Regardless of which team covers the number, this has all the makings of yet another low-scoring game in this rivalry. Pittsburgh averaged just 4.3 yards per play without Pickens in the lineup against the lowly Browns defense and followed that up with just 163 total yards and 4.0 yards per play against the Eagles a week ago. It’s clear that Wilson clearly missed the deep-threat capabilities of his top target in each of the last 2 games and things could look pretty suspect for Pittsburgh’s passing attack once again this week. On the other side, while Jackson has been absolutely outstanding to this point in the season, there is something to be said for his struggles against this Steelers team. In the first meeting between these sides just one month ago, Jackson was held to just 207 yards through the air and Baltimore’s offense had multiple turnovers in that game. With all of this in mind, given that Pickens’ status is trending on the negative side for this game, it’s fair to suggest we’re headed for another low-scoring matchup in this storied AFC North rivalry.

Steelers vs Ravens prediction: Under 45.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 45.

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Caleb Wilfinger
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Caleb Wilfinger

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Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Same Game Parlay

Point Spread
PIT Steelers +6.5
Player Passing Yards
R. Wilson (PIT) - Over 206.5 pass yds
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
D. Henry (BAL) to score a TD

Pittsburgh Steelers +6.5 over Baltimore Ravens (-115)

We have another AFC North showdown on our hands, and if there is one thing this division has taught us over the years it’s to expect extremely competitive contests – even when they not necessarily should be on paper. Well, this one should be. These are the 2 best teams in the division this year and both are heading straight for the playoffs. If the Steelers clinch on Saturday, the biggest factor will be their sweep of the Ravens (Pittsburgh prevailed 18-16 at home on November 17). Baltimore’s offense struggling in this matchup is nothing new. Lamar Jackson has 5 touchdown passes and 8 interceptions while going 1-4 in his last 5 starts against the Steelers. I’m not saying Pittsburgh is going to win outright yet again, but at the very least it should be within 1 possession. The underdog is 19-2-3 ATS in this head-to-head matchup during the Mike Tomlin-Jim Harbaugh era.

Russell Wilson Over 206.5 passing yards (-110)

George Pickens is likely out for this one, but Wilson should still be able to exceed a modest 206.5 number. After all, Baltimore is saddled with one of the worst passing defenses in the league. It is second-to-last in passing yards allowed (258.9 yards per game on 7.4 yards per attempt) while surrendering 3 times as many touchdowns through the air as interceptions made (24 to 8). Wilson has surpassed this number 4 times in his 8 games this year – going for at least 264 yards on all 4 of those occasions.

Derrick Henry to score a touchdown (-175)

There’s no need to overthink putting this leg in the parlay. Henry is a borderline lock to score every time he takes the field, and even at -175 odds it gives the payout a serious boost since it conflicts a bit with Pittsburgh covering the spread. However, the Steelers can simply accept Henry finding the end zone as a given; as long as they contain everyone else, they will likely be in good shape – if not to win then at least to cover. Henry has scored 15 touchdowns this season (13 rushing, 2 receiving) to go along with his 1,474 yards on the ground. The former Alabama standout delivered 1 TD against Pittsburgh last month and can be counted on for at least 1 more tally this weekend.

Ricky Dimon
Top Trends
Money Line

The Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

Point Spread

The Steelers have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.

Game Totals

The Over is 7-2 in the Ravens' matchups against AFC teams this season.

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Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet losses, earn a a one-time Bonus Bettoken equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

bet365

$1,000

Bet $5 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets OR $1,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $150 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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