New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/29/24
WWWWL | Last 5 | LLLWL |
| 2-1 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS Record | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1 | O/U Record | 0-3 |
Saints vs Falcons Pickswise Expert Predictions
Games are never make or break in Week 4 of a season, but it doesn’t get much bigger in terms of division ramifications than New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South — which has all the makings of being a 3-team fight all the way (also with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers). Both teams head into Sunday’s showdown at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta coming off losses, so they will be eager to get back in the win column.
I have more faith in the Falcons, especially since they are playing at home — where they get to stay for 3 weeks in a row. They have trended in the right direction since an opening loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, winning at the Philadelphia Eagles before taking the Kansas City Chiefs down to the wire. Kirk Cousins has been much better over the past 2 contests than he was against Pittsburgh as he continues his comeback from a 2023 Achilles’ tear. It’s only a matter of time before this talented offense stocked with first-round draft picks really starts clicking, and the defense has played well enough to have won all of the first 3 games.
New Orleans is going in the other direction following Week 3. The offense looked incredible in the first 2 outings but got bottled up by Philadelphia last week in a 15-12 setback. That Derek Carr (14 for 25, 142 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception) was more along the lines of the real Derek Carr than the version we saw against the Panthers and Cowboys. Carolina’s defense isn’t very good and Dallas’ defense is terrible. Atlanta’s unit should resemble the one Carr ran into against Philly to a much greater extent. This should be another close one between arch-rivals, but I think expect Atlanta to prevail and cover this small spread.
Saints vs Falcons prediction: Falcons -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.5 (+102).
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Ricky Dimon
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The Saints have won their last 4 matchups against divisional opponents.
6 of the Falcons' last 8 home games stayed under the total.
The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
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