New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/24/24
LWLWL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
3-8 | Record | 4-6 |
4-6-1 | ATS Record | 4-6-0 |
6-5 | O/U Record | 4-6 |
Patriots vs Dolphins Pickswise Expert Predictions
It will be a showdown in the AFC East when the Miami Dolphins host the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. Miami is just 4-6, but that leaves it only 1.5 games out of a playoff spot and Tua Tagovailoa is healthy — at least for now. In other words, the season is far from over in South Beach. It is, however, pretty much must-win mode for the Dolphins — a mode that has served them well so far this month. Once 2-6, they have reeled off consecutive victories over the Los Angeles Rams and Las Vegas Raiders. They won those games by a combined 24 points, so it’s clear the Fins have no trouble rising to the occasion when the pressure is on. In 4 appearances since his return from a concussion, Tagovailoa has tossed 7 touchdown passes compared to just 1 interception.
The Patriots have some future promise with rookie quarterback Drake Maye playing well, but the present is a much different story. Maye has little help around him, so the team as a whole is less than impressive. It is 3-8 overall, and since Week 1 its only wins have come over the New York Jets and Chicago Bears. New England hasn’t produced a 100-yard rusher since Week 1 and Maye has led the team in rushing in 3 of the last 6 contests. If they want to have any chance this weekend, the Pats will have to find a running back — because Miami boasts a stellar pass defense. The Dolphins have easily taken care of 2 straight opponents that are somewhere between mediocre and bad. That is exactly what they should do again on Sunday, winning by at least a touchdown.
Patriots vs Dolphins prediction: Dolphins -7 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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The Under is 4-1 in the Dolphins' last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.
The Dolphins have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games against the Patriots.
The Dolphins have won 9 of their last 11 home matchups against the Patriots.
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