Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/29/24
LLWWW | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| 3-0 | Record | 2-1 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS Record | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3 | O/U Record | 2-1 |
Vikings vs Packers Pickswise Expert Predictions
One of the more consequential games of this Week 4 slate comes in the NFC North, as the Green Bay Packers will host the surprisingly undefeated Minnesota Vikings in a matchup that could go a long way into determining NFC playoff positioning down the road. While the Vikings have certainly been a great story this season, I’m not quite sure that makes them a great team just yet. Sam Darnold has impressed me (and almost everyone else) to this point in the season, and the Minnesota offense appears to be just fine even without the services of Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson (7th in EPA per play, 7th in success rate). Defensively, Brian Flores has just put on back-to-back clinics against the high-powered offenses of San Francisco and Houston, adding an element to this Vikings team that we just haven’t seen over the last couple of seasons. With that said, this is a great time to sell high on Minnesota in a very difficult divisional matchup.
The biggest news of the week in the NFC is that Jordan Love is expected to return under center for the Packers, and that instantly makes this Green Bay offense one of the best in football. Love has not only flourished into becoming one of the better quarterbacks in the league in head coach Matt LaFleur’s system, but he has also seen plenty of success against Flores of late, including putting up over 250 yards and 3 touchdowns in the most recent meeting between these teams a season ago. On the other side of the ball, there’s also the matter of the Packers’ defense under new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley, who has instantly improved on a unit that was one of the worst in football last season. Darnold will have to deal with an aggressive defensive front that isn’t afraid to bring pressure, as shown in an effort against Tennessee where it racked up a whopping 8 sacks in Week 3. It wouldn’t shock me at all if Green Bay’s defense rattles Darnold a bit, especially since he has historically not fared well under pressure. Overall, Green Bay is in a great position to knock off Minnesota and bring expectations back to reality just a bit for this Vikings team.
Vikings vs Packers prediction: Packers -2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Caleb Wilfinger
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Model projections coming soon
The Packers have covered in 4 of their last 5 games.
The Packers have won 3 straight divisional matchups.
The Vikings' last 3 matchups against NFC North teams have gone over the total.
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