Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/03/24
Dolphins vs Bills Pickswise Expert Predictions
It’s no secret that Josh Allen has terrorized the Miami Dolphins over the course of his career, particularly in recent seasons. In fact, the longtime Bills quarterback has a passer rating of 110.0 with over 3,500 yards passing, to go along with 34 touchdowns to just 7 interceptions in 13 career games against the Dolphins. Back in Week 2, it was a completely dominant performance from Buffalo in a 31-10 victory in Miami, and while I’m not expecting another 3-touchdown victory in this one, the Bills should be able to cover this number at home.
While Buffalo’s offense hit a brief snag earlier this season, Joe Brady and this group have largely been excellent at home this season, especially when facing an inferior opponent. Even without Stefon Diggs, this is an extremely balanced and efficient unit in all phases of the game, as the Bills rank 5th in EPA per rush and 3rd in EPA per dropback on the year. Rookie wideout Keon Coleman appears to be making a leap, Khalil Shakir has emerged and the acquisition of Amari Cooper should give defenses plenty to think about. Miami’s defense has taken a step back this season, and James Cook and the Buffalo run game should look to replicate the Week 2 performance that saw them completely take Miami out of the game by halftime. As for the Miami offense, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown just 7 touchdowns to 10 interceptions in 8 career games against Sean McDermott’s defense. Buffalo’s defensive strategy of playing 2 high safeties and creating a shell to limit big plays forces Mike McDaniel’s offense to be methodical in moving the ball down the field. That hasn’t been a recipe for success in past meeting between these teams, and I see that trend continuing here. Let’s take Buffalo to win by at least a touchdown on Sunday.
Dolphins vs Bills prediction: Bills -6 available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.5
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