Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/05/25
Vote on who will cover the spread!
Chargers vs Raiders Pickswise Expert Predictions
Week 18 of the NFL season is one that often gives us plenty of chaos, and plenty of results are tied to other results that will have already occurred. That is partly what I’ll be targeting with my prediction on this AFC West showdown between the Chargers and Raiders in Las Vegas on Sunday. Los Angeles is currently in a battle for imperative seeding in the AFC playoff picture, with the Chargers fighting with the Pittsburgh Steelers for the right to be the #5 seed and face the Houston Texans in the Wild Card round. This is just massive for Los Angeles, as Jim Harbaugh’s team would likely be favored over the Texans in a potential matchup next week, while the alternative would be traveling to play a red-hot Ravens team in what will be an extremely difficult task on the road. With that in mind, if the Steelers lose and the Chargers can still secure the 5th seed, I anticipate that they’ll play to win and would consider laying the points with Los Angeles in this game. However, that’s only if the Bengals win in Pittsburgh on Saturday.
I’m anticipating that Mike Tomlin’s team finally gets up off the mat following 3 straight losses, which means that the Steelers are very live to pull off the small upset over Cincinnati at home on Saturday. A Pittsburgh victory would make a Raiders money line wager at the current number a solid bet to place, as I’m of the opinion that the Chargers will choose to rest Justin Herbert and other key players in anticipation of a grueling playoff game in Baltimore next week. Therefore, I could see this line moving in the direction of Las Vegas in the hours before kickoff, giving us value on our Raiders ticket. And even if the Bengals win, this Las Vegas team is playing very well over the last couple of months, ranking inside the top 10 in EPA per play and success rate on defense since Week 11, while Aidan O’Connell has done a nice job of finding Brock Bowers and feeding the rookie tight end early and often to spearhead this offense. The Raiders haven’t quit on the season at all, having won their last 2 games, so let’s back Las Vegas to pull off the outright upset and hope that we grab some value with this number.
Chargers vs Raiders prediction: Raiders ML (+210) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number with a Steelers loss; playable down to +150 with a Steelers win.
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Caleb Wilfinger
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The Over is 7-4 in the Raiders' matchups against AFC teams this season.
The Chargers have won 9 of their last 11 games as favorite.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
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