Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/13/24
LWWLL | Last 5 | LLWWW |
2-2 | Record | 3-2 |
2-1-1 | ATS Record | 4-1-0 |
0-4 | O/U Record | 2-3 |
Chargers vs Broncos Pickswise Expert Predictions
We have a tense AFC West matchup as the Chargers travel to Mile High Stadium to take on the Broncos. Perhaps to the surprise of everyone, Denver holds a 3-2 record after losing its first 2 games of the season. Victories over the Buccaneers and Jets came as a surprise, but this Broncos team looked comfortable in its 34-18 victory over the Raiders and appears to have great value as a home underdog. Bo Nix hasn’t been the hottest rookie quarterback, but he has at least been serviceable with no interceptions in his last 3 games. What has really been the key Denver’s success, however, has been its defense. The Broncos have allowed just 47 points across their last 4 games (11.75 ppg) and rank 2nd in passing yards per attempt. They have given up just 4 touchdowns through the air and should be equipped to keep Justin Herbert and the Chargers in check.
While the Chargers have enjoyed extra time to prepare for this matchup after being on a bye last week, there is no guarantee that they will come out firing. They started the season with wins over the Raiders and Panthers, which is panning out to be unspectacular given what those teams have done since. What is particularly concerning for Los Angeles, though, is that it followed that up with defeats to the Steelers and Chargers in which it scored just 10 points in each. Both of those teams boast rigid defenses and it can be argued that Denver fits that category, as well. Herbert is yet to top 179 passing yards in any of his 4 games so far and could be in for a frustrating day. Traveling to Mile High is never easy, so the Broncos should at least be able to keep this one within a field goal — and perhaps even win it outright.
Chargers vs Broncos prediction: Broncos +3 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Model projections coming soon
11 of the Chargers' last 13 matchups against AFC teams have gone Under the total.
The Chargers went 6-11 against the spread last season.
The Chargers have won 7 of their last 10 games when they've been the favorite.
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