Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/17/24

Hard Rock StadiumCBS
Raiders
Raiders
Today
Dolphins
Dolphins
LLLLL
Last 5
WLLLW
2-7Record3-6
4-5-0ATS Record3-6-0
6-3O/U Record3-6
Miami Dolphins

Raiders vs Dolphins Pickswise Expert Predictions

Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
Miami Dolphins
Point Spread Pick
MIA Dolphins -7.5(-110)LV Raiders @ MIA Dolphins

The Las Vegas Raiders will travel to South Beach for a Week 11 matchup against the Miami Dolphins, who just upset the Los Angeles Rams 23-15 on Monday Night Football. Neither team has been lighting it up this season, as the Dolphins sit in 10th place in the AFC while the Raiders are in 15th. I don’t foresee Las Vegas turning things around and making the playoffs, while Miami would essentially have to run the table with a schedule that includes road games against the Packers and Texans and a home meeting with the 49ers, so I don’t foresee them making the playoffs either. These scenarios make Sunday’s game a tricky one to handicap, but I think the hosts can win by more than a TD.

Miami got back on track in Week 10, marking their first win by more than a touchdown this season. Although Las Vegas enters this game off their bye week and Miami is on a short week, I’m not sure how much head coach Anthony Pierce will be able to take advantage. Last season, the Raiders were shut out after their bye week, and we still don’t know whether QB Gardner Minshew or Desmond Ridder will be running the offense. Whoever starts better be ready to throw the rock because the Raiders are dead last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (76.9).

Now, Mike McDaniel hasn’t fared well when the Dolphins were on a short week in 2 situations this season, but it’s worth noting that both those games came against divisional rivals in the Bills and Patriots. Additionally, this Dolphins defense is severely underrated, and I’m not sure how Las Vegas is going to put up points. Miami held Matt Stafford and the Rams to 5 field goals this past week, and they’re giving up just 305.8 total yards (10th in the NFL) and 22.4 points (T-16th in the NFL) per game. When the Raiders have faced defenses in the top half of the league this season, they’ve scored an average of 16.8 points. Meanwhile, the Fins have struggled against top-tier defenses with Tua under center this year, but Las Vegas ranks 30th in the NFL in average points allowed (27.9). This one could be ugly, but I’ll be backing the Dolphins to win by 8+ in Miami.

Raiders vs Dolphins prediction: Miami -7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable up to 8 (-110).

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Luke Lindholm
Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
Miami Dolphins
Game Totals Pick
Under 44.5(-110)LV Raiders @ MIA Dolphins

When it comes to Raiders vs Dolphins picks, I feel much better backing the Under this Sunday. I’ve already discussed how I expect Miami to win at Hard Rock Stadium, and I’m not sure how you can have any confidence in this Raiders offense. They’ve struggled to score in their 7 defeats this season, averaging just 17.4 points. They’ll have a better chance of scoring if Gardner Minshew starts, but if Pierce decides to go with Ridder, the Under is even more attractive. The Cincinnati Bearcats product has started 17 games in his career (all for the Falcons), and he’s averaged just 17.7 points in those games. Now, he’ll go up against a Miami defense that just stifled the red-hot Rams in Los Angeles on Monday Night Football.

On the flip side, I expect the Raiders’ defense to benefit from the bye week, as team captain LB Robert Spillane was dealing with a knee injury in Week 9 even though he played. They should be at 100% entering this game and have had 2 full weeks to scheme up a game plan against a Miami offense that hasn’t exactly been firing on all cylinders this season. Even with Tua under center, the Fins have scored an average of 21.4 points in 5 contests, and he didn’t look great against a Rams secondary that’s allowing 219.6 passing yards per contest (22nd in the NFL).

I anticipate a run-heavy approach for Miami, which should cause time to slowly tick off the clock. Additionally, the Under has cashed in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games and in 6 of their 9 games this season. The only way I see this game going Over is if the Dolphins’ offense suddenly decides to score 30+, but they haven’t done that once this season.

Raiders vs Dolphins prediction: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable down to 44 (-110).

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Luke Lindholm
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Luke Lindholm

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Luke Lindholm is the Managing Editor of US Media Partnerships for Spotlight Sports Group (SSG) and is living in Boston, Massachusetts. Luke has been handicapping NCAAF and Soccer for more than five years and loves sharing knowledge with other knowledgeable handicappers in the sports betting industry. For Luke Lindholm media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Money Line

The Raiders have lost 8 of their last 10 road games.

Game Totals

6 of the Raiders' last 8 games (75%) have gone Over the total.

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Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet losses, earn a a one-time Bonus Bettoken equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

bet365

$1,000

Bet $5 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets OR $1,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $150 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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