Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/29/24
WLLLL | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| 0-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS Record | 0-3-0 |
| 1-2 | O/U Record | 1-2 |
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We have a crucial AFC South matchup on our hands with our Jaguars vs Texans prediction and both teams are out to bounce back from crushing defeats in Week 3. The Texans were decimated 34-7 by the Vikings on Sunday before the Jaguars were humiliated 47-10 by the Bills. Having been 4.5-point underdogs on Monday morning, that annihilation in Buffalo has now pushed Jacksonville out by another 2 points and I believe it’s worth jumping on them now that public perception is so low.
I won’t sugarcoat it — the Jags looked awful in that game in Buffalo. Trevor Lawrence has completed barely 50% of his passes this season while the defense was schooled by Josh Allen. However, I’m expecting this team to come out firing in a big divisional game where they know that a win here will suddenly put them 1 win out of first place in the AFC South. This defense has what it takes to slow down opposing offenses, as we saw them do against the Dolphins and Browns, and has allowed the 8th-fewest yards per carry.
As for the Texans, we know this team is loaded with talent but I certainly wouldn’t be rushing to back them as favorites by a touchdown against a divisional rival after such a big defeat to the Vikings. And even before that loss, Houston had relied on narrow victories to get past the Colts and Bears. CJ Stroud has yet to take it to high gear and repeat last season’s heroics, while the absence of Joe Mixon last week led to the Texans having just 38 rushing yards. While the Jags should be motivated to bounce back, I believe Houston will feel under pressure to deliver on their lofty expectations, after a fairly underwhelming start to the season. For my Jaguars vs Texans best bet I’m going with Jacksonville to keep it within a touchdown — and can even see them defying the odds and winning this outright.
Jaguars vs Texans prediction: Jaguars +7 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +6.
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Jaguars vs Texans Pickswise Expert Predictions
Andrew Wilsher
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The Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5 games at AFC South teams.
The Jaguars have gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
The Under is 4-1 in the Texans' last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.
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