Houston Texans vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/31/24
WWWLW | Last 5 | LLLLL |
6-2 | Record | 2-6 |
3-5-0 | ATS Record | 2-6-0 |
2-6 | O/U Record | 4-4 |
Texans vs Jets Pickswise Expert Predictions
We’ve written about the Jets a few times on this site and every time, the state of their franchise only seems to keep on getting worse. Frankly, we’re not sure how New York can improve at this point. They fired their coach, brought in a new stud wide receiver, and we’ve seen plenty of schematic experiments in recent contests. Regardless, they’ve now lost 5 straight. While there isn’t much positive to share about the Jets and their woes, Thursday’s matchup could be a rare opportunity.
Like a few Jets games this season, they probably should have won on Sunday. They outgained the Patriots 336-247, gained more first downs (22-19) and achieved 2 more yards per play (5.9 to 3.9). At halftime, they had what felt like a comfortable 13-7 lead, but they completely sputtered in the final 2 quarters. They missed a field goal, punted twice and allowed the Patriots to stack up 18 points. It was yet another head-scratching result. With their season on the line, they’ll host the Texans in what feels like a make-or-break battle.
The Texans keep winning, but it’s not coming easy. CJ Stroud has been sacked the 4th-most times of any QB (22) heading into Week 9, and no one has been hurried more (38). To draw a comparison, Jalen Hurts has only been hurried 18 times. The Jets’ defense has been cyclically disappointing this season, but they’ve still been good at getting to the QB. They sack opposing throwers on 9.31% of plays (4th overall). CJ Stroud might also be seeing ghosts when he suits up on Thursday night, since last year he had the worst showing of his young NFL career at this very same venue (he went 10 of 23 for 91 yards and no touchdowns in Week 14 in 2023). Both defenses have good matchups in this affair, but it’s the Jets’ defense that needs to show up big if the home team wants to get off this skid. With Houston finding ways to escape losses and regression looming, we’ll go ugly and bet on New York to pull out the much-needed win.
Texans vs Jets prediction: Jets -1.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.
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Pickswise Expert Prop Picks
Rodgers’ median completions for the season sit at 23.5 so right off the bat this is a digestible line. The Jets benefited greatly from a successful running game last week against the Patriots and never really feared the game would get away from them with Brissett under center. They still lost, but it hampered what Rodgers had to do from a game plan perspective. He’s thrown over 35 passes in 5 of 8 games this season and with CJ Stroud as the opposite QB, the Jets will likely need to move the ball up and down the field. Houston is 11th in opponent rushing first downs per game and 13th in opponent rushing play percentage. Assuming Rodgers gets closer to that 35 attempts mark his 61% completion percentage projects him at 21.35 completions. He’s hit this in 5 of 8 on the year, so let’s take Rodgers to clear this number for my best player prop bet on this game.
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The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
The Under is 6-2 in Texans games this season.
The Texans have won their last 5 matchups against AFC teams.
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