Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 11/03/24

Lambeau FieldFOX
Lions
Lions
Sun Nov 3
Packers
Packers
WWWWW
Last 5
LWWWW
6-1Record6-2
6-1-0ATS Record4-4-0
4-3O/U Record4-4
Green Bay Packers

Best Bets

Detroit Lions
NFL
Green Bay Packers
Point Spread PickBest Bet
GB Packers +3.5(-110)DET Lions @ GB Packers

The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers face off this Sunday in a pivotal NFC North matchup with serious division implications. The Lions have a slim lead in the NFC North and are winners of 5 straight, but the Packers are behind them and riding a 4-game winning streak themselves. The biggest storyline entering this week will be the status of Packers QB Jordan Love after the play-caller suffered a groin injury in Week 8, but Adam Schefter reported that he expects Love to play, and Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur stated that Love is pushing to play on Sunday, even if he doesn’t practice all week.

Detroit has been an absolute wagon during this 5-game winning streak, as they’ve gone 5-0 ATS and are putting up 38.4 ppg. However, it’s worth noting that the combined record of the 5 teams they’ve played during this stretch is 17-20. Additionally, the Vikings are the only team they’ve played this season that currently has a winning record, and they won that game by just 2 points, as it came down to a game-winning field goal. Detroit has done a great job at limiting opponents’ scoring (19.1 ppg — 8th in the NFL), which has mainly been due to their red-zone defense (9th in the NFL), but there are some glaring holes in their secondary (247.6 passing yards allowed per game — 27th in the NFL). I expect Love to take advantage of their passing defense, and the Packers score a TD on 64.3% of red-zone drives at Lambeau Field this year (11th in the NFL).

While Love’s status is worth monitoring leading up to kickoff, I plan to back Green Bay with or without their starting QB. Backup QB Malik Willis is 2-0 when filling in for Love this season, and LaFleur is notorious for his ATS record as an underdog. Since taking over the Packers, he has gone 22-10 ATS as an underdog overall and 17-4 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points. Combine this with the fact that Jared Goff historically struggles when playing outdoors (38% more interceptions, 10% lower passer rating and 18% fewer touchdowns per attempt per game), and you have a perfect opportunity to back the home team with the points this Sunday at Lambeau.

Lions vs Packers prediction: Green Bay +3.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable down to +3.

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Luke Lindholm

Lions vs Packers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Detroit Lions
NFL
Green Bay Packers
Game Totals Pick
Under 48(-110)DET Lions @ GB Packers

The second half of my Lions vs Packers picks centers around Sunday’s contest being an ugly affair. I already mentioned how QB Jordan Love is banged up entering this game, and although Detroit’s passing defense is weak, the Packers will need to rely on their ground game to help keep the Lions’ explosive offense off the field. Green Bay ranks 5th in the NFL in rushing yards per game (156.9), and Detroit’s defense just suffered another injury blow, as LB Malcolm Rodriguez suffered an ankle injury last week against the Titans and will likely miss this game. 

On the flip side, the only thing that needs to be said is Jared Goff playing outdoors. Rain is in the forecast for Green Bay on Sunday, and temperatures should be in the 50s. This is the Lions’ first game outdoors this season, and Detroit suffered a 28-13 defeat at the Chicago Bears in Goff’s most recent outdoor game, as the QB tallied just 161 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs while completing just 57.1% of his passes. It’s safe to say that the Californian kid enjoys playing in sunny environments or inside a dome, so I’ll back the Under this Sunday in Green Bay.

Lions vs Packers prediction: Under 48 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable down to 48 (-125).

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Luke Lindholm
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Luke Lindholm

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Luke Lindholm is the Managing Editor of US Media Partnerships for Spotlight Sports Group (SSG) and is living in Boston, Massachusetts. Luke has been handicapping NCAAF and Soccer for more than five years and loves sharing knowledge with other knowledgeable handicappers in the sports betting industry. For Luke Lindholm media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Model projections coming soon

Top Trends
Point Spread

The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Money Line

The Packers have won 4 of their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Game Totals

The Over is 4-1 in the Lions' last 5 divisional matchups.

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Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet losses, earn a a one-time Bonus Bettoken equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

bet365

$1,000

Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets OR $1,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $200 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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