Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 12/22/24
WWWWL | Last 5 | LLLLL |
| 12-2 | Record | 4-10 |
| 9-5-0 | ATS Record | 7-6-1 |
| 7-7 | O/U Record | 5-9 |
Vote on who will cover the spread!
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Although I expect the Lions to win by 7+ on Sunday, Chicago can put up enough points to make this total fly Over. There’s no denying that Detroit will do its fair share of scoring, as Chicago has allowed 34 ppg since Eberflus was fired, and the Lions are putting up 32.8 ppg this season (1st in the NFL). Additionally, Detroit recorded 405 total yards and 25 first downs in the first meeting, but they came away with just 23 points due to a Jahmyr Gibbs fumble in the red zone and a missed field goal.
On the flip side, this Lions defense is decimated with injuries. They posted one of the best DVOAs in the NFL over the first 11 weeks of the year, but since Week 12, they rank 25th. Additionally, Chicago scored 23 points in the second half of the first meeting, so I do expect them to be able to exploit the Lions to some extent. Since that game, Detroit has given up 31 to the Packers and 48 to the Bills, and although those are much more potent offenses, the Bears have shown some life at home this season. The Bears score 22.2 ppg at Solider Field compared to 16.6 on the road.
If the Bears can put up 20+ when these teams met in Detroit the first time, it’s not out of the realm to think that they can replicate that performance, if not exceed it given all of their points came in the second half. Losing Montgomery will impact the Lions’ offense, but I still expect them to put up 28+ against a Bears defense just trying to reach the end of the season. Both teams should score 20+ in this matchup, and I expect Detroit to be closer to 30, so I’ll back the Over on Sunday in Chicago.
Lions vs Bears prediction: Over 47.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 48.5 (-110)
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Lions vs Bears Pickswise Expert Predictions
Luke Lindholm
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The Lions have won their last 6 matchups against divisional opponents.
The Under is 4-1 in the Bears' last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.
The Bears have covered in 5 of their 7 home games this season.
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