Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/27/24
LLWWL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| 3-3 | Record | 3-4 |
| 2-4-0 | ATS Record | 3-4-0 |
| 4-2 | O/U Record | 4-3 |
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NFL schedule-makers didn’t do the 49ers any favors this season. One week following a tough loss against the Chiefs after the Chiefs’ bye week, the Niners will host the Cowboys, who are also off their bye week. Mike McCarthy is 12-5 all-time and 3-1 ATS as the Cowboys head coach after a bye, one of the best in the NFL besides the coach San Fran battled last week, Andy Reid (a ridiculous 21-4 ATS in his career). Regardless, the 49ers must march on with a litany of injuries on their roster. Last Sunday, Brandon Aiyuk was added to the season-ending list; not great for an offense that’s been sputtering. At 3-4, the Niners aren’t as tasty of a grab this week. Big-money-bettors indicated as much, moving the spread from SF -7 to SF -4.5 in less than 24 hours after it opened. We understand the sentiment – what is there to like about the Niners right now?
At the same time, it’s worth noting that they were 7-point favorites for a reason. Even with their injuries, the 49ers are a professional organization, one that’s risen to the top in the NFC numerous times in the last half-decade, and they have the staff and QB to turn the ship around. At 3-4 and with a bye week ahead, this is a desperate moment for the Niners, an integral time to gain momentum before a long break. And for what it’s worth – this is an opponent that they’ve had the upper hand against for a long time.
The Cowboys and 49ers aren’t in the same division but they might as well be. No 2 NFC teams have battled more in marquee games over the last 40 years, but lately it’s been very one-sided. The Niners have bested the Cowboys in each of their last 3 contests, including a 32-point thrashing last year in the Bay Area. Dallas is not even close to the program they were last season, especially on defense, and they still don’t know if Micah Parsons will be able to suit up. Dallas’ defense has been a funnel for opposing offenses (31st in opponent ppg, 24th in opponent ypg). The Niners are comfortable beating up on the Boys, they need a win, and they can expose matchup advantages on both sides of the ball. I love San Fran in this spot.
Cowboys vs 49ers prediction: 49ers -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -5.5.
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Cowboys vs 49ers Pickswise Expert Predictions
Chris Farley
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Model projections coming soon
The total went Over in 12 of the Cowboys' last 13 games (92%) off a bye week.
The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC teams.
The 49ers have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC East teams.
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