Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/13/24
LWLLL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
1-4 | Record | 2-2 |
1-4-0 | ATS Record | 2-2-0 |
2-3 | O/U Record | 2-2 |
Browns vs Eagles Pickswise Expert Predictions
The 1-4 Cleveland Browns travel to Lincoln Financial Field this Sunday afternoon for a clash with the 2-2 Philadelphia Eagles. The Browns enter this one after suffering their third straight defeat, this time by a 34-13 scoreline to the Washington Commanders. It has been a season to forget for the Deshaun Watson-led Browns, and I’m not sure how much longer he will have his starting job. Cleveland is dead-last in the NFL in total yards per game (239.4) and 30th in points per game (15.8). All signs would typically point to another Browns loss, but the Eagles haven’t exactly played up to expectations through 4 games this season.
Philadelphia is coming off its bye week, which couldn’t have come at a better time. The Eagles fell to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 4, 33-16, and their offense hasn’t looked great since their opening Week 1 victory in Brazil against the Packers 34-29. They did lose star wideout AJ Brown after that game, and DeVonta Smith missed the game against the Bucs, but both WRs should be back in the starting offense this Sunday. However, I’m not confident that QB Jalen Hurts can cover such a big spread.
The Eagles QB is just 25-27-2 all-time against the spread, and the Philly play-caller is 18-20-2 ATS as a favorite. On the other side, Watson is 20-14 ATS as an underdog. Additionally, the Eagles haven’t been great at covering spreads of 6+ points the last 2 regular seasons, as they are 5-10-2 ATS as a 6+ point favorite and just 1-7 ATS as an 8+ point favorite. The Browns have been dreadful this season, but I expect to see some sort of response eventually, so I’ll back them with the points in Philly.
Browns vs Eagles prediction: Cleveland +8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable down to +8.
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Model projections coming soon
The Eagles have lost 6 of their last 8 games as favorite.
The Over is 4-1 in the Eagles' last 5 home games.
The Browns have failed to cover in 4 of their 5 games this season.
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