Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds and MNF Picks for Monday, 12/02/24
LWLLW | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| 3-8 | Record | 7-5 |
| 4-7-0 | ATS Record | 9-3-0 |
| 5-6 | O/U Record | 7-5 |
Browns vs Broncos Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Browns are coming off of a true high. Jameis Winston, their beloved, goofy backup QB, had a seminal career moment the last time he took the field, engineering a gritty win in snowy conditions against their division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers. For a franchise that’s been down in the dumps, it was a great performance by Cleveland in front of their home crowd, a fanbase that’s been through a treacherous ride of controversy (ahem, Deshaun Watson) and disappointment for the last few seasons. At 3-8 and with a terribly difficult schedule remaining, the Browns know that the postseason is out of reach, and we’re more than concerned that after such an emotional win, a letdown is forthcoming. Enter the Denver Broncos.
Perhaps no team is more surprising than the Broncos this season. Besides fairly predictable losses to the Ravens and Chiefs (they’re good, but not that good yet), the Broncos have won 7 of their last 10 games. Bo Nix, who seems to be getting better every week, is now the second-favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+110 at most sportsbooks). The former Oregon standout has thrown 16 TDs and just 2 interceptions in his last 10 games. Denver’s defense, which is also a big surprise, is easily one of the best in the NFL. They rank in the top 5 in opponent points and yards per game, opponent points and yards per play, opponent yards per pass and rush, and no program is better in the red zone (they allow a TD on just 39.39% of red-zone possessions).
Cleveland plays better when they face division opponents, as we’ve seen in defeats of the Ravens and Steelers this season, but they’re not the same team otherwise. All season they’ve only won 1 game on the road, and their defense has largely been pitiful. They’re in the bottom third of the NFL in all the same categories we celebrated with Denver. Right now the Broncos are finding ways to win, by margin, no matter the situation, and this is a nice spot, before their bye-week, to dominate another mistake-prone team at home.
Browns vs Broncos prediction: Broncos -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 6.
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Chris Farley
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The Broncos have covered the spread in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The Over is 4-1 in the Broncos' last 5 matchups against AFC teams.
The Browns' average winning margin from 3 wins as an underdog this season is 5.0 points.
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