Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds and TNF Picks for Today, 11/07/24
LWWLW | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| 4-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 5-4-0 | ATS Record | 5-3-1 |
| 6-3 | O/U Record | 8-1 |
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The Ravens opened up as 6-point favorites against the Bengals on Thursday night, with little movement so far. Some sportsbooks are showing signs that it may tick down in Cincinnati’s favor. That’s a tough perception to agree with, considering how elite Baltimore has played for most of this season, but we get why big money is liking the underdog. Regardless of how well Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are playing, one thing has been true about the Bengals at this time of year and when Joe Burrow is behind center: they win. With Burrow as their starter, the Bengals are 12-4 straight up from Week 10 onward over the last 3 seasons. Of course, previous versions of Cincinnati had better defenses and a better ground attack (the jungle misses you, Joe Mixon), but that’s still a very telling statistic. Burrow is a winner, as evidenced in his championship days with LSU and his participation in a Super Bowl in his first full campaign as a starting NFL quarterback 3 seasons ago. Whether or not the Bengals can pull off another scintillating hot streak again remains to be seen, but their star thrower has been on fire this season: 20 TDs, 4 INTs, 2,224 passing yards.
Perhaps the only starting QB playing better than Burrow is his nemesis on Thursday, Lamar Jackson. Jackson has thrown 20 TDs and just 2 INTs for 2,379 yards. He’s also added 505 yards on the ground. Baltimore is also at home and they have the far better rushing attack; they’re 1st in yards per rush (5.9) and rush yards per game (191.9). Still, the issues with taking Baltimore here are big ones. This is the Ravens’ 4th game in 17 days, and it’s a divisional matchup, the kind that typically conjures closely fought, hard-hitting battles. When these teams met earlier in the season, the Bengals and Ravens fought in overtime and Baltimore pulled it out, 41-38, but we’re not sure they’ll get so lucky this time. At 4-5, Cincinnati can only afford 1 or 2 more losses, and we know that Burrow can expose Baltimore’s defense. We love the pooch in this spot.
Bengals vs Ravens prediction: Bengals +6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 5.
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Bengals vs Ravens Pickswise Expert Predictions
Chris Farley
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Model projections coming soon
The Bengals are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
The Over is 4-1 in the Ravens' last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.
The Bengals have won 12 of their last 20 road games.
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