Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/27/24
LLWWW | Last 5 | WWWLW |
4-2 | Record | 5-2 |
5-1-0 | ATS Record | 5-1-1 |
3-3 | O/U Record | 5-2 |
Bears vs Commanders Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Bears lock horns with the Commanders in this NFC matchup and both teams have been trending in the right direction in recent weeks. Chicago is coming off a huge victory over Jacksonville in London where rookie QB Caleb Williams threw four touchdown passes, while the Commanders have been on an absolute tear, most recently crushing the Panthers 40-7 despite having to play backup QB Marcus Mariota for much of the game. That last detail is crucial, as standout quarterback Jayden Daniels was forced to leave that game early with a rib injury and is currently considered day-to-day. It is unknown whether we’ll get a battle between the first and second picks of the 2024 NFL Draft, but even if Daniels doesn’t suit up, I still like Washington to take care of business.
This Commanders offense has received plenty of plaudits and a lot of that has been to do with Daniels. However, it’s worth remembering that this team was scoring for fun last season when Sam Howell was under center. So it was no surprise that Mariota came in last week and this team continued to deal. Kliff Kingsbury has got this team running riot through the air and on the ground, and despite the Bears allowing the 5th-fewest passing yards per attempt, I’m still confident that this team can move the chains. The real difference on the Commanders for me has been Dan Quinn’s turnaround on the defense. This unit was a trainwreck last season, but has held 3 of its last 4 opponents to 14 points or fewer. The Bears have been ticking along nicely with 3 straight wins, but those opponents have a combined 5-15 record and I still have reservations over Williams’ ability as a passer. I certainly wouldn’t be confident enough in Chicago to back them as a road favorite and have faith in the Commanders to get the job done regardless of who is under center, although if Daniels does play, that will be a big bonus.
Bears vs Commanders prediction: Commanders +2.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Model projections coming soon
The Commanders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Betting the Commanders on the money line in all games this season would have shown a 159% return on investment.
The Bears' last 5 road games have stayed Under the total.
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