HomeNFLNFL PredictionsBaltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and MNF Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and MNF Picks for Monday, 10/21/24

Updated: 9:52 AM ET Oct 21, 2024

Raymond James StadiumESPN

4-2

Ravens

8:15 PM ETYesterday

4-2

Buccaneers

Ravens vs Buccaneers Pickswise Expert Predictions

NFL

Point Spread Pick

BAL Ravens -3.5(-110)BAL Ravens @ TB Buccaneers

Reasoning

We’ve got one heck of a Monday Night Football matchup on deck as the Baltimore Ravens make the trip to Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams currently hold 4-2 records, but it’s arguable that the Ravens are the best team in the NFL right now. Since losing its first 2 games, Baltimore has won 4 straight in which it has scored at least 28 points in every game. The addition of Derrick Henry was expected to be a major boost for this offense, but I doubt anyone could have quite expected the total domination he and Lamar Jackson are doing on the ground. Henry has hit at least 132 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 games and the Ravens are averaging an insane 5.9 yards per carry by far the most in the NFL. They now come up against a Bucs defense that ranks bottom 10 in yards per carry allowed and has given up the 8th-most rushing touchdowns in the league. On top of the ground game, Jackson has exceeded 320 passing yards in each of his last 2 games and this offense looks unstoppable right now.

As for the Bucs, they have shot out to a 4-2 record with Baker Mayfield looking red hot, having already thrown 15 touchdown passes already. His rapport with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin is among the best in the NFL and they could take advantage of a Ravens defense that has allowed the most passing yards per attempt in the NFL. Ultimately, this one has all the makings of a shootout but I still like the Ravens to outscore Tampa and eventually pull away. The Bucs have allowed at least 26 points in 3 of their last 4 games and let Kirk Cousins post 509 passing yards in their last primetime matchup. This Ravens team looks like a juggernaut and should once again highlight its Super Bowl credentials.

Ravens vs Buccaneers prediction: Ravens -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Andrew Wilsher

NFL

Game Totals Pick

Over 49.5(-110)BAL Ravens @ TB Buccaneers

Reasoning

This is a fairly high number but I’m still leaning towards the Over. As mentioned in the point spread writeup, these 2 offenses are absolutely on fire right now. Lamar Jackson continues to be a threat on the ground alongside Derrick Henry, but his increased production in the passing game makes it feel almost impossible to stop this offense. Baltimore has scored 106 points in its last 3 games alone and should be able to punish a Bucs defense that has given up 36 and 27 points in its last 2.

Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also been hot on the ground with both Sean Tucker and Bucky Irving running riot. They rank 2nd to the Ravens in yards per carry (5.2) and themselves have scored 114 points in their last 3, including putting 51 on the Saints last week. While I can see both teams tightening up a little with plenty on the line tonight, each offense has been too hot to expect any significant cooldown. I expected this line to be in the 50s, so I see some value in taking the Over at this number.

Ravens vs Buccaneers pick: Over 49.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Andrew Wilsher

Show Bio

Managing Editor of Pickswise. Born and raised in jolly old London, England, with an undying love for the NFL, NBA, soccer and horse racing. A big-time sports bettor who loves futures markets and backing underdogs. Long-suffering New York Jets fan. For Andrew Wilsher media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

@aWilsher94

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Player Rush + Rec Yards Pick

J. Hill (BAL) - Over 31.5 rush+rec yds(-115)

Reasoning

Derrick Henry player prop lines have become almost unbettable in some cases because of the success he has had out of the gate. His TD odds are nearly -200 across all books and his rushing totals are resting in the mid-80s. I’m going to slightly zag this week based on the matchup against Tampa Bay. Justice Hill has been quiet these last 2 weeks, but he has been praised for how he has held up in pass blocking. Many would be shocked to know that Hill played 46.5% of snaps to Henry’s 54% and this is a matchup that Hill can really thrive in as the 3rd-down back.

The Bucs rank 31st in targets to opposing running backs on the season (48) and receptions (39). Hill has hit this in 3 of 6 games so far and I believe he will see a snap boost for his pass-blocking prowess against a Bucs defense that ranks 8th overall in blitz rate. At some point, offensive coordinator Todd Monken will draw up a play for Hill that makes Tampa Bay pay for that move. His median rush attempts are at 4 with a 4.75 YPC to match, giving us a baseline of about 17 rush yards to be added to a higher upside in the passing game. I’m riding with Hill on Monday night.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick

C. Godwin (TB) to score a TD(+160)

Reasoning

With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers having question marks in their backfield and Mike Evans being out of practice to begin the week and limited on Saturday, Chris Godwin is the one reliable target that the Buccaneers have. He’s logged at least 9 targets in 3 of the last 4 weeks, including 5 red-zone targets over that span. Moving Godwin primarily to the slot has worked wonders for himself and Baker Mayfield. Look for Mayfield to look his way when entering Baltimore territory.

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Justin Martin (JutPicks)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick

I. Likely (BAL) to score a TD(+300)

Reasoning

The Baltimore Ravens tight end room is a betting and fantasy managers nightmare. But Isaiah Likely continues to outsnap Mark Andrews and is still a top target of Lamar Jacksons — especially down in the red zone. Apart from the show he put on in the season opener against the Kansas City Chiefs, Likely has logged just 3 red-zone targets since, but all 3 have come over the last 2 weeks. Likely is capable of creating a ton of separation with his 6’4″ frame. I’m expecting him to build off his 48-air-yard performance last week, which was his most since Week 1. At +300 odds, Likely has a ton of value to find the end zone.

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Justin Martin (JutPicks)

Featured In

SGP

8:15 PM ETYesterday

Ravens vs Buccaneers MNF Same Game Parlay

Model projections coming soon

Top Trends

Point Spread

The Ravens have covered the spread in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

Game Totals

5 of the Ravens' last 7 road games have gone Over the total.

Money Line

The Ravens are on a 4-game win streak.