Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/17/24
WWLWW | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| 7-3 | Record | 7-2 |
| 5-4-1 | ATS Record | 7-2-0 |
| 9-1 | O/U Record | 5-4 |
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We’ve got a crunch AFC North matchup here as the Ravens battle the Steelers on Sunday afternoon. This game marks the first divisional game for the hosts, who currently own a half-game lead over the Ravens in the division, as the Steelers will face 6 divisional opponents in their last 8 games this season. Pittsburgh has been one of the biggest surprises on 2024 and is coming off a thrilling 28-27 victory over the Washington Commanders on the road. I backed Mike Tomlin’s team in that game and I’ll go back to the well this week. Although QB Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are having a great year, this Steelers team is firing on all cylinders with Russell Wilson under center, as Mr. Unlimited has thrown for 6 TDs and 1 INT in 3 starts, outscoring their opponents by 31 points in the process. Not only that, but the Steelers’ defense is one of the best in the NFL, as they give up just 16.2 ppg (2nd in the NFL).
The Ravens enter Sunday’s game in Pittsburgh after taking down the Cincinnati Bengals in thrilling fashion on Thursday Night Football, 35-34. Jackson is leading the pack for NFL MVP, as Baltimore’s play-caller is 1st in the NFL in average completion (9.3), total passing + rushing TDs (26), QBR (76.9), passer rating (123.2) and only trails Bengals QB Joe Burrow by 3 passing yards. As good as Jackson has been, he is just 1-3 all-time against the Steelers as a starter, completing just 59.1% of his passes to go with 4 TDs and 7 INTs. If any team in the NFL knows how to slow down Mr. Jackson, it’s Mike Tomlin and the Steelers.
After last week, Tomlin improved to 62-35-4 ATS as an underdog and Wilson is now 41-23-2 ATS in his career as an underdog. Not only that, but the Steelers have gone 7-3 SU (6-3-1 ATS) against Baltimore in the last 10 meetings, covering or pushing every single time as an underdog. When AFC North opponents face off, backing the underdog is typically the right way to go, and I’m all in on this Steelers team this Sunday.
Ravens vs Steelers prediction: Pittsburgh +3.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable down to +3 (-110).
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Ravens vs Steelers Pickswise Expert Predictions
Luke Lindholm
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5 of the Ravens' last 6 road matchups against the Steelers have stayed Under the total.
The Steelers are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games at home.
The Steelers have won their last 3 matchups against divisional opponents.
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