Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Odds and MNF Picks for Monday, 11/25/24

SoFi StadiumESPN
Ravens
Ravens
Yesterday
Chargers
Chargers
WLWWL
Last 5
LWWWW
7-4Record7-3
5-5-1ATS Record7-2-1
9-2O/U Record3-7
Los Angeles Chargers

Best Bets

Baltimore Ravens
NFL
Los Angeles Chargers
Point Spread PickBest Bet
BAL Ravens -3.0(-105)BAL Ravens @ LA Chargers

The “Harbaugh Bowl” has returned as John’s Ravens will travel across the country to take on Jim’s Chargers. Baltimore is coming off a loss that has NFL analysts shifting their opinions (again) on their potential, while the Chargers are off a huge win on Sunday night, holding off a melee by Joe Burrow and the Bengals. The market typically overreacts to these week-to-week situations, but we are encouraged to see that Baltimore is still getting the respect they deserve. We will argue they should get even more. Watching the Chargers this season proves how coaching can make a huge difference in football. Jim Harbaugh’s program is 7-3, competitive with the Chiefs in the AFC West, and they already have one of the NFL’s best defenses. Harbaugh has inherited a very talented roster on that side of the ball and he’s made the most out of it. And despite criticisms of the Bolts’ shallow wide-receiver depth chart, they’re doing plenty to win games (8th in yards/pass, 7.9). There is one area where the Chargers have consistently been a letdown all season, though – their run defense.

LA’s defense has mostly been terrific, but 11 weeks in they’re still allowing 4.7 yards per rush, a bottom-10 mark in the league (23rd). All year, good running teams have succeeded against the Chargers: Pittsburgh (114), Kansas City (110), Arizona (181) and Tennessee (157) to name a few. This is not great news with Derrick Henry and the Ravens coming to town, an offense that averages 5.8 yards/rush (1st) and 177.3 rush yards/game (2nd). On top of that, the Ravens are off a very emotional loss. Lamar Jackson is facing his share of criticism once again, with pundits and analysts claiming he cannot win “the big game” after another collapse against his rival. We’re not here to argue either way, but Sunday night does not qualify as a similar spot. The Ravens are angry, while the Chargers are probably a little too fat and sassy after surviving against Cincinnati and winning 4 straight. We like Baltimore to go off on Monday Night Football.

Ravens vs Chargers prediction: Ravens -3 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris R. Farley

Ravens vs Chargers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Baltimore Ravens
NFL
Los Angeles Chargers
Game Totals Pick
Over 51.0(-110)BAL Ravens @ LA Chargers

If we think the Ravens are going to explode on Monday night, you can probably guess which way we’re thinking from this angle. The Chargers’ defense has been sensational but let’s face it – they haven’t exactly faced a who’s-who of elite offenses lately. That is, they haven’t until last week. Before Week 11, LA dominated programs like Las Vegas, Carolina, New Orleans, Cleveland and Tennessee. Then Joe Burrow showed up and dropped 27 points in Los Angeles, including 21 second-half points and a near-comeback victory. In totality, Cincinnati accumulated 452 yards. While we’re not concerned about the long-term success of Jim’s defense, it’s worth noting that this is his first year back in the NFL, with a brand new group, and it’s extremely hard to prepare for Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry.

The Ravens’ defense has also been disappointing, especially against above-average QBs (7.7 yards/pass allowed, 27th). Justin Herbert is healthy and looks more confident than ever with his new coach, and we’re betting on the fact that he can keep up with the Ravens for (most of) this contest.

Ravens vs Chargers prediction: Over 51 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris R. Farley
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Chris Farley

Show Bio

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.
Read more about Chris Farley

Same Game Parlay

Point Spread
BAL Ravens -2.5
Game Totals
Over 50.5
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
L. McConkey (LAC) to score a TD

Baltimore Ravens -2.5 over LA Chargers (-118)

For the first leg of our Ravens vs Chargers Same Game Parlay, I’m laying the short number with the Ravens. What a difference a season makes for the Chargers, as Los Angeles is 7-3 and looks like a legitimate playoff team. Jim Harbaugh has clearly worked wonders on the defense, and the Bolts’ offense has been coming along nicely thanks to a terrific season from Justin Herbert. However, there is one area where the Chargers have consistently been a letdown all season, and that’s their run defense.

The Chargers have a bottom-10 run defense in football, and that doesn’t bode well against a Ravens offense whose entire identity is built around an all-time great backfield with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Baltimore is averaging 5.8 yards per rush on the season, in addition to being top in the league in EPA per play and success rate. This is also a great spot to back a Ravens team that is more experienced with being in a game of this magnitude, and I expect the Chargers to take a bit of a step back after surviving a furious comeback from the Bengals a week ago.

Over 50.5 (-110)

For the second leg of our Ravens vs Chargers Same Game Parlay picks, we’re going with the Over while it’s still under the key number of 51. A Ravens victory coincides nicely with the Over in this matchup, as Baltimore is inside the top 5 in virtually every offensive metric this season. There’s also something to be said for the Chargers defense struggling against an excellent Bengals offense a week ago, and that challenge only gets tougher with Baltimore this week. On the other side, it’s not like the Ravens have been anything special on defense, especially against the pass (7.7 yards per pass allowed this season). Given that Herbert is in the midst of a terrific season and looks more confident than ever under Jim Harbaugh, we’ll take our chances on the fact that Los Angeles can do enough to send this game Over.

Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown scorer (+160)

Ladd McConkey had his coming out party in a massive spot against the Bengals a week ago — racking up 123 yards on 9 targets — and he’s clearly become the focal point of the Chargers’ passing offense. And even though he was a limited participant in practice earlier in the week, all signs point to the Georgia product being able to suit up and add a much-needed dimension to Los Angeles’ passing attack. Herbert and McConkey have already established a clear connection, and that should continue against a Baltimore defense that has allowed 16 touchdowns to the wide receiver position, along with over 2,000 yards on the season. Herbert has had no trouble spreading the ball around to a plethora of targets, but when the Chargers need a crucial 3rd down or big play in the red zone, their quarterback often turns to his favorite target in the slot.

Caleb Wilfinger

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Baltimore Ravens
Player Pass Attempts Pick
L. Jackson (BAL) - Over 29.5 pass atts(-128)

According to PFF, the Ravens have a clear advantage in pass-blocking tonight against LA and when Lamar Jackson is given time he’s been surgical this season. The Chargers rank in the bottom 10 in pressure rate this season (18.7%). When looking for a comparable matchup this season, the closest we get is the Las Vegas Raiders (17.5). In that game, Jackson threw 34 times, rushing only 5 times. Jackson’s splits when under pressure compared to when he’s kept clean have large disparities. When kept clean, he’s scrambling on nearly 4% of drop backs compared to 15% when under pressure. Jackson’s median pass attempts on the season sit at 33 so we’re getting a good number and a favorable matchup for him to sit in the pocket and sling it. The Chargers rank 10th overall in opponent pass attempts per game with 33.9.

Los Angeles Chargers
Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)
Baltimore Ravens
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
L. Jackson (BAL) to score a TD(+220)

Lamar Jackson has watched his Ravens Super Bowl and MVP odds drop after losing 2 of their last 4 games, with both losses coming to division foes. But after watching the Steelers lose their game to the Browns on Thursday Night Football, the chance for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson to bounce back is now. He’s scored just 2 touchdowns this season after running in 5 last season en route to his 2nd MVP. Jackson’s rushing attempts line is set at 7.5 with vig on the over on some books — for good reason. He’s still getting plenty of designed runs, including in the red zone. Priced at +220 in a game with a total of 50.5, I’m willing to let it fly with Jackson in this highly anticipated AFC duel.

Los Angeles Chargers
jutpicks
Justin Martin (JutPicks)
Baltimore Ravens
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Pick
L. McConkey (LAC) to score a TD(+160)

Ladd McConkey put on a show last week on Sunday Night Football against the Bengals in a big-time win. He registered a 27.3% target share, recording 123 yards on 9 targets. The concern is his health coming into Monday Night Football. After missing practice on Thursday, McConkey was limited on back-to-back days in preparation for this game. All the signs point to him being able to suit up and ultimately being effective through the air.

The Ravens’ secondary has been their main concern all year long. They’ve allowed 16 touchdowns to the wide receiver position, along with over 2,000 yards — both the most in football. So naturally, we will back the #1 pass-catching offense for the opponent. Tight end Will Dissly caught my eye at +320 to score a touchdown and is also worth a sprinkle, but McConkey is top of the list for me in terms of bets to find the end zone.

Los Angeles Chargers
jutpicks
Justin Martin (JutPicks)

Featured In

Top Trends
Money Line

The Ravens are on a 3-game win streak on the road at the Chargers.

Game Totals

The Over is 5-1 in the Ravens' road games this season.

Point Spread

The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS at home this season.

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Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any sports market and get $150 in bonus bets

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet loses, earn a one-time Bonus Bet token equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins + 3 Free Months of NBA League Pass

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account

Bet $5 on any sport

Get $150 in bonus bets if your bet wins

Plus you'll get 3 free months of NBA League Pass!

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any sports market and get $150 in bonus bets

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager up to $1,000

If the bet losses, earn a a one-time Bonus Bettoken equal to the qualifying wager

21+. New users and first wager only. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. MA: CALL 1-800-327-5050 NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)

bet365

$1,000

Bet $5 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets OR $1,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

Register for a new bet365 account

Place $5+ and get $150 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

OR $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA, KY, LA, AZ, IN. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer. Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New Customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply

Underdog Fantasy

$1,000

First Time Deposit Offer up to $1,000 in Bonus Cash

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit up to $1,000

Get a 100% deposit match, and new users can get up to $1,000 in bonus cash on their first deposit

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

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