HomeNFLNFL PredictionsBaltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds and Divisional Round Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds and Divisional Round Picks for Tomorrow, 01/19/25

Updated: 6:27 AM ET Jan 17, 2025

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Ravens

6:30 PM ETTomorrow

Bills

WWWWW	Last 5	WWWLW
12-5	Record	13-4
11-6-1	ATS Record	11-7-0
13-5	O/U Record	11-7

Vote on who will cover the spread!

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NFL

Point Spread PickBest Bet

BAL Ravens -1.0(-110)BAL Ravens @ BUF Bills

Reasoning

Perhaps the most anticipated game of the Divisional Round is the showdown of the NFL’s top-2 MVP candidates. After scintillating performances by both programs last weekend, the Ravens and Bills will meet for a 2nd time this season. Our only other relevant reference point was their Week 4 battle, a clash where the Ravens dominated the visiting Bills from start to finish. They almost doubled the Bills in total yards (427 to 236), and Derrick Henry looked like Emmitt Smith (24 carries, 199 yards, 1 touchdown). Of course, the Bills also caught the Ravens at a bad time; Baltimore lost in their home opener to the Raiders 2 weeks prior, so they had extra motivation to display a perfect performance.

That still doesn’t mean that the same thing will happen this Sunday. After a humbling loss to the Rams in Week 14, Buffalo has looked just as impressive as any team in the NFL. Disregarding their Week 18 matchup where they rested starters in a close loss to New England, the Bills have put up 143 points in 4 straight wins (36 ppg), and that started with a 48-42 spectacular against a team that many think is the best in the league, the Detroit Lions. Buffalo’s defense was extremely stingy last Sunday, holding the Broncos to just 224 yards, 13 first downs, 7 points and just 2-9 on 3rd-down conversions. We consider Sean Payton to be one of the premier play-callers in the NFL, so that’s no small feat.

Still, the Ravens looked unstoppable in the Wild Card Round, against a division foe that’s seen them three times. Todd Monken is no longer calling plays for the Ravens and it appears they’ve learned from past mistakes. Last year, Baltimore failed to stick to their best asset in the playoffs – their run game – and created a game plan that featured a plethora of passing. They don’t seem to be on that path this time. Last Saturday, Baltimore ran for 299 yards on a very formidable group (PFF ranked Pittsburgh as the NFL’s best defensive line), having little to no issue controlling the line of scrimmage. The Bills’ front seven has very high upside, but by all statistical standards, they’re a very mediocre group (19th in opponent yards per rush, 16th in opponent yards per pass). In Buffalo or not, we agree with the line movement.

Ravens vs Bills prediction: Ravens -1 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.5.

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Chris R. Farley

Ravens vs Bills Pickswise Expert Predictions

NFL

Game Totals Pick

Over 51.5(-110)BAL Ravens @ BUF Bills

Reasoning

Right now (as of Wednesday) the weather in Buffalo says that it’ll be cold (20 degrees) with little wind and a slight chance of snow, but that seems to be changing by the hour. “Lake-effect” snow is a tricky thing, and at any point there could be a system that forms and dumps nasty weather. We’re not sure how messy it will get on Sunday, but we know the conditions are generally harsh. At the same time, this game features the top-two MVP candidates and 2 more of the most explosive offenses in the league (Buffalo is 2nd in ppg, Baltimore is 3rd). Many moons ago yet still this season, the Ravens held the Bills to just 10 points, 12 first downs and 236 yards. That means something, but we highly doubt the same thing will happen again. Baltimore’s defense was fierce and fast in their Wild Card win, but Josh Allen’s ingenuity and the Bills’ dependable core of skill players are a top operation to hold down for long, especially when they’re at home.

Of course, the same could be said of the other offense, and they’ve proved they can do it. Henry ran for 299 yards and the Ravens annihilated the Bills in Week 4, apparently having no challenges controlling the Bills’ sturdy front seven. In the Wild Card round, the Ravens looked fantastic, able to turn up the volume and enter attack mode in the blink of an eye. When Baltimore wanted to score, they simply could not be stopped, not even by one of the NFL’s most respected defenses. At some point, this will become a battle of MVP quarterbacks. We think that’ll happen earlier than later. One of the two will likely succeed in the first quarter, they’re just far too talented, which will trigger urgency and tempo in the offense. Hell, even if we see adverse weather conditions on Sunday, we’re not sure that any impediments can stop these two trains.

Ravens vs Bills prediction: Over 51.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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BET o51.5 NOW WITH

Chris R. Farley

Chris Farley

Show Bio

Chris is a writer for Pickswise who’s been handicapping the NFL since 2011. He began his public betting career as a betting writer, and has since become a contributing analyst for various betting sites and shows. He was a 5th place winner ($114k) in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, and he owns his own sports betting podcast, Laying the Points. Chris approaches handicapping using psychosocial principles and nuanced market analysis. The NFL and NBA are his favorite and most profitable sports.

@FarleyBets

Pickswise Expert Prop Picks

Player Receiving Yards Pick

J. Hill (BAL) - 20+ rec yds(-115)

Reasoning

The Buffalo Bills have given up the 2nd-most targets in the NFL to opposing running backs, the 2nd-most receptions to opposing running backs and the most receiving yards to opposing running backs, making this a great matchup for Justice Hill in the passing game. The Steelers were a tougher matchup for him last week and the blowout meant he was never really needed in 3rd-down situations as Baltimore looked to eat up the clock. This is shaping up to be a tightly contested game and Baltimore must make an effort to not become predictable with Derrick Henry’s touches. Hill had 6 receptions for 78 yards and a touchdown against Buffalo in their Week 4 matchup. While I do not expect that type of production in this game, I do expect John Harbaugh to go back to those looks. If you’re the Buffalo defense, you’d be happy to live with Justice Hill succeeding underneath compared to the damage that can be done downfield.

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Bobby Stanley Jr. (PropHolliday)

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Parlay Pick

4:30 PM ETToday

NFL Divisional Round parlay

Parlay Pick

3:00 PM ETTomorrow

Sunday's NFL Divisional Round parlay

Top Trends

Point Spread

The Ravens have covered the spread in their last 3 road games.

Game Totals

The Over is 13-5 in Ravens games this season.

Money Line

The Bills have won 9 straight home games.

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